Florida's newly redrawn 22nd congressional district, stretching across diverse South Florida communities from Broward to Naples following redistricting, has produced an open Republican primary on August 18 with no incumbent. The race remains tight among self-funded contenders Michael Carbonara, David Burck, Belinda Keiser, and Casey Askar, as recent polling shows a statistical three-way tie with over 40% of likely Republican voters undecided. Heavy personal spending by the leading candidates on issues including the economy, border security, and affordability has kept the contest competitive, while the absence of major endorsements or late-breaking developments sustains trader consensus around closely matched probabilities ahead of election day.