Florida's August 18 Republican primary for the 22nd congressional district remains tightly contested days before voters decide, with recent polling showing Belinda Keiser, Casey Askar, and Michael Carbonara in a statistical tie amid more than 40 percent undecided voters. Self-funding by the leading contenders has intensified advertising and attacks, including Carbonara's focus on Keiser's prior Democratic affiliation, while no major endorsements have consolidated support. The race's fragmentation, combined with the closed primary and redistricting changes that opened the seat, sustains uncertainty reflected in trader consensus around the top options. Late developments such as additional polling or candidate forums could shift positioning before election day.