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Politics·Mexico

Campeche Governor Election Winner

icon for Campeche Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Campeche Governor Election Winner

Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus 65%

Martina Kantún Can 14%

Aníbal Ostoa Ortega 7%

Ricardo Medina Farfán 5.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus 65%

Martina Kantún Can 14%

Aníbal Ostoa Ortega 7%

Ricardo Medina Farfán 5.1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus

Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus

$2,022 Vol.

65%

icon for Martina Kantún Can

Martina Kantún Can

$301 Vol.

14%

icon for Aníbal Ostoa Ortega

Aníbal Ostoa Ortega

$309 Vol.

7%

icon for Ricardo Medina Farfán

Ricardo Medina Farfán

$202 Vol.

5%

icon for Andrés Fernández del Valle

Andrés Fernández del Valle

$201 Vol.

5%

icon for Eliseo Fernández Montúfar

Eliseo Fernández Montúfar

$198 Vol.

5%

icon for Liz Hernández Romero

Liz Hernández Romero

$201 Vol.

4%

icon for Gerardo Sánchez Sansores

Gerardo Sánchez Sansores

$211 Vol.

4%

icon for Yolanda Valladares Valle

Yolanda Valladares Valle

$198 Vol.

4%

icon for Biby Rabelo de la Torre

Biby Rabelo de la Torre

$198 Vol.

4%

icon for Rocío Abreu Artiñano

Rocío Abreu Artiñano

$211 Vol.

4%

icon for Carlos Ucán Yam

Carlos Ucán Yam

$198 Vol.

3%

icon for Armando Toledo Jamit

Armando Toledo Jamit

$198 Vol.

3%

icon for Nelly Márquez Zapata

Nelly Márquez Zapata

$198 Vol.

3%

icon for Paul Arce Ontiveros

Paul Arce Ontiveros

$198 Vol.

3%

icon for Daniel Barreda Pavón

Daniel Barreda Pavón

$232 Vol.

3%

icon for Pablo Angulo Briceño

Pablo Angulo Briceño

$202 Vol.

3%

icon for Christian Castro Bello

Christian Castro Bello

$221 Vol.

2%

icon for Salvador Farías González

Salvador Farías González

$226 Vol.

7%

icon for Laura Baqueiro Ramos

Laura Baqueiro Ramos

$198 Vol.

1%

icon for Ariana Rejón Lara

Ariana Rejón Lara

$204 Vol.

1%

icon for Rosario Cruz Hernández

Rosario Cruz Hernández

$198 Vol.

1%

icon for Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora

Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora

$203 Vol.

<1%

icon for Emilio Lara Calderón

Emilio Lara Calderón

$211 Vol.

<1%

icon for Francisco Farías Bailón

Francisco Farías Bailón

$211 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dulce Dorantes Cervera

Dulce Dorantes Cervera

$253 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus holds the strongest position in the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial race due to his April 2026 appointment by Governor Layda Sansores as state coordinator for Morena's "defense of the transformation," an early move that consolidated party support ahead of internal processes. Recent polls reflect this advantage, with Lazarus consistently leading potential contenders from other parties or factions. Traders price his outcome highest, aligning with Morena's organizational edge and incumbency backing in a state where the ruling party has dominated recent cycles. Lower probabilities for alternatives such as Christian Castro Bello and others stem from fragmented opposition and limited visibility in current surveys, though primary contests or coalition shifts within the next year could alter the field before the general election.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$7,399
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:21 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus holds the strongest position in the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial race due to his April 2026 appointment by Governor Layda Sansores as state coordinator for Morena's "defense of the transformation," an early move that consolidated party support ahead of internal processes. Recent polls reflect this advantage, with Lazarus consistently leading potential contenders from other parties or factions. Traders price his outcome highest, aligning with Morena's organizational edge and incumbency backing in a state where the ruling party has dominated recent cycles. Lower probabilities for alternatives such as Christian Castro Bello and others stem from fragmented opposition and limited visibility in current surveys, though primary contests or coalition shifts within the next year could alter the field before the general election.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$7,399
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:21 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Campeche Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus" at 65%, followed by "Martina Kantún Can" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Campeche Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Campeche Governor Election Winner," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Campeche Governor Election Winner" is "Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Martina Kantún Can" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Campeche Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.