California voters face Proposition 37 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, a citizens’ initiative authorizing up to $25 billion in revenue bonds for a CalHFA-administered second-mortgage program offering fixed-rate loans up to 17% of purchase price on qualifying homes under roughly $1.5 million. Buyers must meet income limits below 200% of area median, occupy the property, and contribute at least 3% down payment, with bonds repaid through borrower payments rather than general state funds. Housing affordability ranks among the top voter concerns, and a May 2026 PPIC survey showed 53% support. Backing comes from real estate groups, construction unions, and sponsor Bob Hertzberg, while some Republican lawmakers have voiced opposition; no major counter-campaign has emerged. These factors underpin the current 59.5% implied probability for passage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCalifornia Homebuying Loan Program Proposition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California voters face Proposition 37 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, a citizens’ initiative authorizing up to $25 billion in revenue bonds for a CalHFA-administered second-mortgage program offering fixed-rate loans up to 17% of purchase price on qualifying homes under roughly $1.5 million. Buyers must meet income limits below 200% of area median, occupy the property, and contribute at least 3% down payment, with bonds repaid through borrower payments rather than general state funds. Housing affordability ranks among the top voter concerns, and a May 2026 PPIC survey showed 53% support. Backing comes from real estate groups, construction unions, and sponsor Bob Hertzberg, while some Republican lawmakers have voiced opposition; no major counter-campaign has emerged. These factors underpin the current 59.5% implied probability for passage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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