Recent polling averages place Die Linke at 18–22 percent for the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, reflecting gains from its 12.2 percent result in the prior vote and positioning the party near or ahead of the CDU and AfD in a fragmented field. New co-leadership, top candidate Elif Eralp, and emphasis on housing, transit affordability, and social policy have contributed to this momentum amid declining SPD support. The tight market distribution across seat bands stems from ongoing poll volatility, competition among four parties in the mid-teens to low-20s range, and uncertainty over final turnout—particularly among younger voters—and potential coalition alignments. Late-cycle surveys, candidate debates, or shifts in national political dynamics could widen gaps between the leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated30-34 31%
40+ 22%
20-24 22%
25-29 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
<20
27%
20-24
22%
25-29
21%
30-34
31%
35-39
25%
40+
22%
30-34 31%
40+ 22%
20-24 22%
25-29 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
<20
$119 Vol.
27%
20-24
$81 Vol.
22%
25-29
$0 Vol.
21%
30-34
$0 Vol.
31%
35-39
$38 Vol.
25%
40+
$206 Vol.
22%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling averages place Die Linke at 18–22 percent for the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, reflecting gains from its 12.2 percent result in the prior vote and positioning the party near or ahead of the CDU and AfD in a fragmented field. New co-leadership, top candidate Elif Eralp, and emphasis on housing, transit affordability, and social policy have contributed to this momentum amid declining SPD support. The tight market distribution across seat bands stems from ongoing poll volatility, competition among four parties in the mid-teens to low-20s range, and uncertainty over final turnout—particularly among younger voters—and potential coalition alignments. Late-cycle surveys, candidate debates, or shifts in national political dynamics could widen gaps between the leading outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$443End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling averages place Die Linke at 18–22 percent for the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, reflecting gains from its 12.2 percent result in the prior vote and positioning the party near or ahead of the CDU and AfD in a fragmented field. New co-leadership, top candidate Elif Eralp, and emphasis on housing, transit affordability, and social policy have contributed to this momentum amid declining SPD support. The tight market distribution across seat bands stems from ongoing poll volatility, competition among four parties in the mid-teens to low-20s range, and uncertainty over final turnout—particularly among younger voters—and potential coalition alignments. Late-cycle surveys, candidate debates, or shifts in national political dynamics could widen gaps between the leading outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volume
$443End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Die Linke at 18–22 percent for the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, reflecting gains from its 12.2 percent result in the prior vote and positioning the party near or ahead of the CDU and AfD in a fragmented field. New co-leadership, top candidate Elif Eralp, and emphasis on housing, transit affordability, and social policy have contributed to this momentum amid declining SPD support. The tight market distribution across seat bands stems from ongoing poll volatility, competition among four parties in the mid-teens to low-20s range, and uncertainty over final turnout—particularly among younger voters—and potential coalition alignments. Late-cycle surveys, candidate debates, or shifts in national political dynamics could widen gaps between the leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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