**Anthropic’s rapid valuation ascent and IPO momentum underpin trader consensus favoring a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion.** The company’s May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, followed by its June 1 confidential SEC filing targeting a fall 2026 Nasdaq listing led by major banks, has accelerated expectations. Explosive revenue growth—to a $30–47 billion annualized run rate—and leadership in frontier large language models position it ahead of OpenAI in private markets, fueling speculation of a substantial IPO premium similar to recent AI-adjacent debuts. Investor meetings planned for summer 2026 and strong secondary-market pricing near $1.1 trillion further support the leading bracket, though execution risks around lockups, share sales, and broader market conditions for AI equities remain relevant swing factors ahead of a potential October window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1.8T+ 61%
1.5–1.8T 17.0%
1.2–1.5T 13.1%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 5.5%
$295,224 Vol.
$295,224 Vol.
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
3%
0.9–1.2T
3%
1.2–1.5T
13%
1.5–1.8T
17%
1.8T+
61%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
6%
1.8T+ 61%
1.5–1.8T 17.0%
1.2–1.5T 13.1%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 5.5%
$295,224 Vol.
$295,224 Vol.
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
3%
0.9–1.2T
3%
1.2–1.5T
13%
1.5–1.8T
17%
1.8T+
61%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
6%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Anthropic’s rapid valuation ascent and IPO momentum underpin trader consensus favoring a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion.** The company’s May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, followed by its June 1 confidential SEC filing targeting a fall 2026 Nasdaq listing led by major banks, has accelerated expectations. Explosive revenue growth—to a $30–47 billion annualized run rate—and leadership in frontier large language models position it ahead of OpenAI in private markets, fueling speculation of a substantial IPO premium similar to recent AI-adjacent debuts. Investor meetings planned for summer 2026 and strong secondary-market pricing near $1.1 trillion further support the leading bracket, though execution risks around lockups, share sales, and broader market conditions for AI equities remain relevant swing factors ahead of a potential October window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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