Anthropic's recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, paired with its confidential SEC filing in June targeting an October 2026 Nasdaq debut led by Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley, underpins the overwhelming 95.5% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above $600 billion. Rapid annualized revenue growth past $30 billion, operating profit projections, and secondary-market pricing near or above $1 trillion reinforce trader expectations of a record AI listing. Key near-term catalysts include scheduled investor meetings and completion of the SEC review process. While timelines could still slip due to market volatility or regulatory scrutiny of frontier AI models, current momentum leaves little room for lower-bracket outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated600B+ 95.5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 3.1%
400–600B <1%
300–400B <1%
$420,580 Vol.
$420,580 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
1%
600B+
96%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
600B+ 95.5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 3.1%
400–600B <1%
300–400B <1%
$420,580 Vol.
$420,580 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
$156,438 Vol.
<1%
100–200B
$72,886 Vol.
<1%
200–300B
$19,764 Vol.
<1%
300–400B
$69,792 Vol.
<1%
400–600B
$22,147 Vol.
1%
600B+
$46,283 Vol.
96%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$33,271 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, paired with its confidential SEC filing in June targeting an October 2026 Nasdaq debut led by Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley, underpins the overwhelming 95.5% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above $600 billion. Rapid annualized revenue growth past $30 billion, operating profit projections, and secondary-market pricing near or above $1 trillion reinforce trader expectations of a record AI listing. Key near-term catalysts include scheduled investor meetings and completion of the SEC review process. While timelines could still slip due to market volatility or regulatory scrutiny of frontier AI models, current momentum leaves little room for lower-bracket outcomes.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volume
$420,580End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, paired with its confidential SEC filing in June targeting an October 2026 Nasdaq debut led by Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley, underpins the overwhelming 95.5% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above $600 billion. Rapid annualized revenue growth past $30 billion, operating profit projections, and secondary-market pricing near or above $1 trillion reinforce trader expectations of a record AI listing. Key near-term catalysts include scheduled investor meetings and completion of the SEC review process. While timelines could still slip due to market volatility or regulatory scrutiny of frontier AI models, current momentum leaves little room for lower-bracket outcomes.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$420,580End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic's recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, paired with its confidential SEC filing in June targeting an October 2026 Nasdaq debut led by Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley, underpins the overwhelming 95.5% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above $600 billion. Rapid annualized revenue growth past $30 billion, operating profit projections, and secondary-market pricing near or above $1 trillion reinforce trader expectations of a record AI listing. Key near-term catalysts include scheduled investor meetings and completion of the SEC review process. While timelines could still slip due to market volatility or regulatory scrutiny of frontier AI models, current momentum leaves little room for lower-bracket outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions