**DeepSeek's cost-efficient V4 Flash variants and strong performance in high-volume agentic and coding workloads drive the 94% market-implied odds for second place on OpenRouter during the September 7–13 week.** Recent token data shows Chinese open-weight models, including DeepSeek's, capturing the majority of usage through low pricing and solid capabilities on benchmarks like DeepSWE and Terminal-Bench, outpacing many premium U.S. models in real developer routing. Fragmented competition among Tencent, Z.ai, OpenAI, and Xiaomi creates a tight race for top spots, positioning DeepSeek as a consistent high-share contender without guaranteed leadership. A late-week boost from the September 10 V4.1 Flash release could reinforce this, while a larger surge by Tencent's Hy4 preview or Z.ai's GLM series remains the main scenario that could push DeepSeek lower or into first. Trader consensus reflects sustained preference for these efficient large language models amid rapid shifts in platform dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDeepSeek 83%
OpenAI 29.7%
Google 3.1%
Qwen 2.8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
DeepSeek
72%
OpenAI
30%
3%
Qwen
3%
Z.ai
3%
Tencent
3%
Anthropic
3%
Nvidia
3%
MiniMax
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Meta
<1%
xAI
<1%
DeepSeek 83%
OpenAI 29.7%
Google 3.1%
Qwen 2.8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
DeepSeek
$772 Vol.
72%
OpenAI
$145 Vol.
30%
$124 Vol.
3%
Qwen
$99 Vol.
3%
Z.ai
$154 Vol.
3%
Tencent
$178 Vol.
3%
Anthropic
$96 Vol.
3%
Nvidia
$139 Vol.
3%
MiniMax
$175 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$128 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$125 Vol.
<1%
xAI
$96 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the second highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.**DeepSeek's cost-efficient V4 Flash variants and strong performance in high-volume agentic and coding workloads drive the 94% market-implied odds for second place on OpenRouter during the September 7–13 week.**
Recent token data shows Chinese open-weight models, including DeepSeek's, capturing the majority of usage through low pricing and solid capabilities on benchmarks like DeepSWE and Terminal-Bench, outpacing many premium U.S. models in real developer routing. Fragmented competition among Tencent, Z.ai, OpenAI, and Xiaomi creates a tight race for top spots, positioning DeepSeek as a consistent high-share contender without guaranteed leadership. A late-week boost from the September 10 V4.1 Flash release could reinforce this, while a larger surge by Tencent's Hy4 preview or Z.ai's GLM series remains the main scenario that could push DeepSeek lower or into first. Trader consensus reflects sustained preference for these efficient large language models amid rapid shifts in platform dynamics.
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the second highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Volume
$2,230End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolution Source
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the AI lab with the second highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.**DeepSeek's cost-efficient V4 Flash variants and strong performance in high-volume agentic and coding workloads drive the 94% market-implied odds for second place on OpenRouter during the September 7–13 week.**
Recent token data shows Chinese open-weight models, including DeepSeek's, capturing the majority of usage through low pricing and solid capabilities on benchmarks like DeepSWE and Terminal-Bench, outpacing many premium U.S. models in real developer routing. Fragmented competition among Tencent, Z.ai, OpenAI, and Xiaomi creates a tight race for top spots, positioning DeepSeek as a consistent high-share contender without guaranteed leadership. A late-week boost from the September 10 V4.1 Flash release could reinforce this, while a larger surge by Tencent's Hy4 preview or Z.ai's GLM series remains the main scenario that could push DeepSeek lower or into first. Trader consensus reflects sustained preference for these efficient large language models amid rapid shifts in platform dynamics.
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the second highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Volume
$2,230End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolution Source
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...**DeepSeek's cost-efficient V4 Flash variants and strong performance in high-volume agentic and coding workloads drive the 94% market-implied odds for second place on OpenRouter during the September 7–13 week.** Recent token data shows Chinese open-weight models, including DeepSeek's, capturing the majority of usage through low pricing and solid capabilities on benchmarks like DeepSWE and Terminal-Bench, outpacing many premium U.S. models in real developer routing. Fragmented competition among Tencent, Z.ai, OpenAI, and Xiaomi creates a tight race for top spots, positioning DeepSeek as a consistent high-share contender without guaranteed leadership. A late-week boost from the September 10 V4.1 Flash release could reinforce this, while a larger surge by Tencent's Hy4 preview or Z.ai's GLM series remains the main scenario that could push DeepSeek lower or into first. Trader consensus reflects sustained preference for these efficient large language models amid rapid shifts in platform dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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