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Politics·Main Election

Zambia Presidential Election Winner

icon for Zambia Presidential Election Winner
Politics·Main Election

Zambia Presidential Election Winner

Hakainde Hichilema 77.5%

Brian Mundubile 22.5%

Fred M'membe <1%

Polymarket

$187,196 Vol.

Hakainde Hichilema 77.5%

Brian Mundubile 22.5%

Fred M'membe <1%

Polymarket

$187,196 Vol.

icon for Hakainde Hichilema

Hakainde Hichilema

$92,169 Vol.

77%

icon for Brian Mundubile

Brian Mundubile

$75,105 Vol.

23%

icon for Fred M'membe

Fred M'membe

$20,498 Vol.

<1%

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).Hakainde Hichilema's strong position in the Zambia presidential election market stems from his incumbency advantages and record of debt restructuring, mining sector stabilization, and economic rebound since 2021, which traders see as outweighing voter frustration over persistent cost-of-living pressures. The August 13, 2026, vote pitted him against main challenger Brian Mundubile of the Tonse Alliance, with pre-election polls showing Hichilema around 60% support amid a fragmented field of 14 candidates. Mundubile's lower odds reflect limited opposition cohesion and Hichilema's endorsements from allied parties, while minor candidates such as Fred M'membe remain marginal. Vote counting is underway with results expected shortly, leaving room for late shifts only if irregularities or turnout anomalies emerge in key areas.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).
Volume
$187,196
End Date
Aug 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 3:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).Hakainde Hichilema's strong position in the Zambia presidential election market stems from his incumbency advantages and record of debt restructuring, mining sector stabilization, and economic rebound since 2021, which traders see as outweighing voter frustration over persistent cost-of-living pressures. The August 13, 2026, vote pitted him against main challenger Brian Mundubile of the Tonse Alliance, with pre-election polls showing Hichilema around 60% support amid a fragmented field of 14 candidates. Mundubile's lower odds reflect limited opposition cohesion and Hichilema's endorsements from allied parties, while minor candidates such as Fred M'membe remain marginal. Vote counting is underway with results expected shortly, leaving room for late shifts only if irregularities or turnout anomalies emerge in key areas.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).
Volume
$187,196
End Date
Aug 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 3:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Zambia Presidential Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Hakainde Hichilema" at 77%, followed by "Brian Mundubile" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Zambia Presidential Election Winner" has generated $187.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Zambia Presidential Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Zambia Presidential Election Winner" is "Hakainde Hichilema" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brian Mundubile" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Zambia Presidential Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.