Nigel Farage increased his vote share in the August 2026 Clacton by-election to 63.3 percent from 46.2 percent in the 2024 general election, securing re-election with 22,239 votes against Count Binface's 9,455. The contest followed Farage's resignation to trigger a by-election amid a parliamentary standards inquiry, with major parties boycotting the race and leaving only fringe and independent candidates. Lower turnout at 44.4 percent and a fragmented field concentrated support behind the Reform UK incumbent, producing a decisive swing of more than 17 points. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects the confirmed result now in place, though final market resolution depends on any outstanding procedural verification of the official tallies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated>99% chance
$31,748 Vol.
$31,748 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
>99% chance
$31,748 Vol.
$31,748 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage receives a greater percentage of valid votes in the next by-election in Clacton than in the 2024 election in Clacton. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Percentages of the valid votes received by Nigel Farage in each election will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes Nigel Farage received by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If Nigel Farage does not contest the next by-election in Clacton, if no by-election happens by June 30, 2027, or if the results of the by-election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).Nigel Farage increased his vote share in the August 2026 Clacton by-election to 63.3 percent from 46.2 percent in the 2024 general election, securing re-election with 22,239 votes against Count Binface's 9,455. The contest followed Farage's resignation to trigger a by-election amid a parliamentary standards inquiry, with major parties boycotting the race and leaving only fringe and independent candidates. Lower turnout at 44.4 percent and a fragmented field concentrated support behind the Reform UK incumbent, producing a decisive swing of more than 17 points. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects the confirmed result now in place, though final market resolution depends on any outstanding procedural verification of the official tallies.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage receives a greater percentage of valid votes in the next by-election in Clacton than in the 2024 election in Clacton. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Percentages of the valid votes received by Nigel Farage in each election will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes Nigel Farage received by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If Nigel Farage does not contest the next by-election in Clacton, if no by-election happens by June 30, 2027, or if the results of the by-election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage receives a greater percentage of valid votes in the next by-election in Clacton than in the 2024 election in Clacton. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Percentages of the valid votes received by Nigel Farage in each election will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes Nigel Farage received by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If Nigel Farage does not contest the next by-election in Clacton, if no by-election happens by June 30, 2027, or if the results of the by-election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Market Opened: Jul 7, 2026, 9:50 PM ET
Volume
$31,748End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 9:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage receives a greater percentage of valid votes in the next by-election in Clacton than in the 2024 election in Clacton. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Percentages of the valid votes received by Nigel Farage in each election will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes Nigel Farage received by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If Nigel Farage does not contest the next by-election in Clacton, if no by-election happens by June 30, 2027, or if the results of the by-election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).Nigel Farage increased his vote share in the August 2026 Clacton by-election to 63.3 percent from 46.2 percent in the 2024 general election, securing re-election with 22,239 votes against Count Binface's 9,455. The contest followed Farage's resignation to trigger a by-election amid a parliamentary standards inquiry, with major parties boycotting the race and leaving only fringe and independent candidates. Lower turnout at 44.4 percent and a fragmented field concentrated support behind the Reform UK incumbent, producing a decisive swing of more than 17 points. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects the confirmed result now in place, though final market resolution depends on any outstanding procedural verification of the official tallies.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage receives a greater percentage of valid votes in the next by-election in Clacton than in the 2024 election in Clacton. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Percentages of the valid votes received by Nigel Farage in each election will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes Nigel Farage received by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If Nigel Farage does not contest the next by-election in Clacton, if no by-election happens by June 30, 2027, or if the results of the by-election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage receives a greater percentage of valid votes in the next by-election in Clacton than in the 2024 election in Clacton. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Percentages of the valid votes received by Nigel Farage in each election will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes Nigel Farage received by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If Nigel Farage does not contest the next by-election in Clacton, if no by-election happens by June 30, 2027, or if the results of the by-election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Volume
$31,748End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 9:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nigel Farage increased his vote share in the August 2026 Clacton by-election to 63.3 percent from 46.2 percent in the 2024 general election, securing re-election with 22,239 votes against Count Binface's 9,455. The contest followed Farage's resignation to trigger a by-election amid a parliamentary standards inquiry, with major parties boycotting the race and leaving only fringe and independent candidates. Lower turnout at 44.4 percent and a fragmented field concentrated support behind the Reform UK incumbent, producing a decisive swing of more than 17 points. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects the confirmed result now in place, though final market resolution depends on any outstanding procedural verification of the official tallies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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