Recent mortgage rates near 6.65-6.75% have sustained affordability constraints, limiting buyer demand and contributing to flat-to-slightly declining median values across LA Metro reports through July 2026. Elevated active listings, up notably year-over-year in some datasets, add supply-side pressure while sales volumes show only modest gains. Trader consensus reflected in the tight 41.5% and 36.5% shares for the sub-$1.137M and $1.137M-$1.153M bins underscores uncertainty over whether seasonal late-summer activity or any near-term rate shifts will push the September 30 reading above or below the $1.14M threshold. Key upcoming data on inventory and transaction prices will likely influence resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<$1.137M 43.6%
$1.137M - $1.153M 37%
$1.153M - $1.169M 12%
$1.169M - $1.185M 4.8%
$40,363 Vol.
$40,363 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$1.137M
44%
$1.137M - $1.153M
37%
$1.153M - $1.169M
12%
$1.169M - $1.185M
5%
$1.185M - $1.201M
3%
$1.201M - $1.216M
1%
$1.216M+
3%
<$1.137M 43.6%
$1.137M - $1.153M 37%
$1.153M - $1.169M 12%
$1.169M - $1.185M 4.8%
$40,363 Vol.
$40,363 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$1.137M
$2,539 Vol.
44%
$1.137M - $1.153M
$10,762 Vol.
37%
$1.153M - $1.169M
$6,661 Vol.
12%
$1.169M - $1.185M
$7,291 Vol.
5%
$1.185M - $1.201M
$8,258 Vol.
3%
$1.201M - $1.216M
$3,741 Vol.
1%
$1.216M+
$1,177 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)Recent mortgage rates near 6.65-6.75% have sustained affordability constraints, limiting buyer demand and contributing to flat-to-slightly declining median values across LA Metro reports through July 2026. Elevated active listings, up notably year-over-year in some datasets, add supply-side pressure while sales volumes show only modest gains. Trader consensus reflected in the tight 41.5% and 36.5% shares for the sub-$1.137M and $1.137M-$1.153M bins underscores uncertainty over whether seasonal late-summer activity or any near-term rate shifts will push the September 30 reading above or below the $1.14M threshold. Key upcoming data on inventory and transaction prices will likely influence resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Volume
$40,363End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)Recent mortgage rates near 6.65-6.75% have sustained affordability constraints, limiting buyer demand and contributing to flat-to-slightly declining median values across LA Metro reports through July 2026. Elevated active listings, up notably year-over-year in some datasets, add supply-side pressure while sales volumes show only modest gains. Trader consensus reflected in the tight 41.5% and 36.5% shares for the sub-$1.137M and $1.137M-$1.153M bins underscores uncertainty over whether seasonal late-summer activity or any near-term rate shifts will push the September 30 reading above or below the $1.14M threshold. Key upcoming data on inventory and transaction prices will likely influence resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
Volume
$40,363End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent mortgage rates near 6.65-6.75% have sustained affordability constraints, limiting buyer demand and contributing to flat-to-slightly declining median values across LA Metro reports through July 2026. Elevated active listings, up notably year-over-year in some datasets, add supply-side pressure while sales volumes show only modest gains. Trader consensus reflected in the tight 41.5% and 36.5% shares for the sub-$1.137M and $1.137M-$1.153M bins underscores uncertainty over whether seasonal late-summer activity or any near-term rate shifts will push the September 30 reading above or below the $1.14M threshold. Key upcoming data on inventory and transaction prices will likely influence resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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