Recent LA Metro housing data show median sale prices near $1.07 million with modest year-over-year declines or flat readings through June and July 2026, reflecting elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.65-6.75% that continue to suppress buyer demand and transaction volumes. Rising inventory levels—up notably from pandemic lows but still below historical norms—have eased some upward pressure on values, while seasonal patterns and limited near-term economic catalysts point to stability rather than sharp moves by late September. Trader positioning around the $1.137-1.153 million range versus lower outcomes captures this balance between persistent affordability constraints and resilient local fundamentals, with resolution hinging on the final index print amid ongoing rate sensitivity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1.137M - $1.153M 37%
<$1.137M 30.0%
$1.153M - $1.169M 12%
$1.185M - $1.201M 2.8%
$41,846 Vol.
$41,846 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$1.137M
30%
$1.137M - $1.153M
37%
$1.153M - $1.169M
12%
$1.169M - $1.185M
6%
$1.185M - $1.201M
3%
$1.201M - $1.216M
1%
$1.216M+
2%
$1.137M - $1.153M 37%
<$1.137M 30.0%
$1.153M - $1.169M 12%
$1.185M - $1.201M 2.8%
$41,846 Vol.
$41,846 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$1.137M
$3,941 Vol.
30%
$1.137M - $1.153M
$10,762 Vol.
37%
$1.153M - $1.169M
$6,661 Vol.
12%
$1.169M - $1.185M
$7,291 Vol.
6%
$1.185M - $1.201M
$8,258 Vol.
3%
$1.201M - $1.216M
$3,741 Vol.
1%
$1.216M+
$1,192 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)Recent LA Metro housing data show median sale prices near $1.07 million with modest year-over-year declines or flat readings through June and July 2026, reflecting elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.65-6.75% that continue to suppress buyer demand and transaction volumes. Rising inventory levels—up notably from pandemic lows but still below historical norms—have eased some upward pressure on values, while seasonal patterns and limited near-term economic catalysts point to stability rather than sharp moves by late September. Trader positioning around the $1.137-1.153 million range versus lower outcomes captures this balance between persistent affordability constraints and resilient local fundamentals, with resolution hinging on the final index print amid ongoing rate sensitivity.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Volume
$41,846End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)Recent LA Metro housing data show median sale prices near $1.07 million with modest year-over-year declines or flat readings through June and July 2026, reflecting elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.65-6.75% that continue to suppress buyer demand and transaction volumes. Rising inventory levels—up notably from pandemic lows but still below historical norms—have eased some upward pressure on values, while seasonal patterns and limited near-term economic catalysts point to stability rather than sharp moves by late September. Trader positioning around the $1.137-1.153 million range versus lower outcomes captures this balance between persistent affordability constraints and resilient local fundamentals, with resolution hinging on the final index print amid ongoing rate sensitivity.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
Volume
$41,846End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent LA Metro housing data show median sale prices near $1.07 million with modest year-over-year declines or flat readings through June and July 2026, reflecting elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.65-6.75% that continue to suppress buyer demand and transaction volumes. Rising inventory levels—up notably from pandemic lows but still below historical norms—have eased some upward pressure on values, while seasonal patterns and limited near-term economic catalysts point to stability rather than sharp moves by late September. Trader positioning around the $1.137-1.153 million range versus lower outcomes captures this balance between persistent affordability constraints and resilient local fundamentals, with resolution hinging on the final index print amid ongoing rate sensitivity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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