Recent housing data through mid-2026 shows Miami median sale prices holding near $580,000–$650,000 amid elevated inventory, longer days on market, and modest year-over-year softening in broader segments. Trader consensus around the $1.089M–$1.125M band reflects expectations that limited single-family supply, sustained international demand from Latin America, and resilient luxury pricing could support higher typical values by late September, even as mortgage rates near 6% and Florida insurance costs weigh on affordability. Key near-term catalysts include August–September sales reports and any shifts in Fed policy that influence borrowing costs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will the median home value in Miami be on September 30?
$1.089M - $1.125M 51%
$1.125M - $1.161M 20.6%
$1.053M - $1.089M 10%
<$1.017M 5.2%
$55,598 Vol.
$55,598 Vol.
<$1.017M
5%
$1.017M - $1.053M
4%
$1.053M - $1.089M
10%
$1.089M - $1.125M
51%
$1.125M - $1.161M
21%
$1.161M - $1.196M
4%
$1.196M+
5%
$1.089M - $1.125M 51%
$1.125M - $1.161M 20.6%
$1.053M - $1.089M 10%
<$1.017M 5.2%
$55,598 Vol.
$55,598 Vol.
<$1.017M
5%
$1.017M - $1.053M
4%
$1.053M - $1.089M
10%
$1.089M - $1.125M
51%
$1.125M - $1.161M
21%
$1.161M - $1.196M
4%
$1.196M+
5%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent housing data through mid-2026 shows Miami median sale prices holding near $580,000–$650,000 amid elevated inventory, longer days on market, and modest year-over-year softening in broader segments. Trader consensus around the $1.089M–$1.125M band reflects expectations that limited single-family supply, sustained international demand from Latin America, and resilient luxury pricing could support higher typical values by late September, even as mortgage rates near 6% and Florida insurance costs weigh on affordability. Key near-term catalysts include August–September sales reports and any shifts in Fed policy that influence borrowing costs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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