Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings place Chicago metro typical values near $338,000 as of late July 2026, with 4.5% year-over-year appreciation amid chronically low inventory and steady buyer demand supported by local corporate employment. Mortgage rates holding near 6% continue to constrain affordability yet have not halted modest price growth, consistent with the market-implied concentration around the $335,000–$345,000 bracket. Seasonal summer activity and limited new listings reinforce the near-term stability priced by traders, while any acceleration in Fed easing or inventory releases before September 30 could shift the distribution toward higher bands.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$335K - $340K 36%
$340K - $345K 21%
$345K+ 13%
$330K - $335K 11.5%
$79,888 Vol.
$79,888 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$320K
1%
$320K - $325K
1%
$325K - $330K
11%
$330K - $335K
12%
$335K - $340K
36%
$340K - $345K
21%
$345K+
13%
$335K - $340K 36%
$340K - $345K 21%
$345K+ 13%
$330K - $335K 11.5%
$79,888 Vol.
$79,888 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$320K
$2,395 Vol.
1%
$320K - $325K
$2,282 Vol.
1%
$325K - $330K
$2,932 Vol.
11%
$330K - $335K
$7,071 Vol.
12%
$335K - $340K
$15,963 Vol.
36%
$340K - $345K
$18,591 Vol.
21%
$345K+
$30,653 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings place Chicago metro typical values near $338,000 as of late July 2026, with 4.5% year-over-year appreciation amid chronically low inventory and steady buyer demand supported by local corporate employment. Mortgage rates holding near 6% continue to constrain affordability yet have not halted modest price growth, consistent with the market-implied concentration around the $335,000–$345,000 bracket. Seasonal summer activity and limited new listings reinforce the near-term stability priced by traders, while any acceleration in Fed easing or inventory releases before September 30 could shift the distribution toward higher bands.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$79,888End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings place Chicago metro typical values near $338,000 as of late July 2026, with 4.5% year-over-year appreciation amid chronically low inventory and steady buyer demand supported by local corporate employment. Mortgage rates holding near 6% continue to constrain affordability yet have not halted modest price growth, consistent with the market-implied concentration around the $335,000–$345,000 bracket. Seasonal summer activity and limited new listings reinforce the near-term stability priced by traders, while any acceleration in Fed easing or inventory releases before September 30 could shift the distribution toward higher bands.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Volume
$79,888End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings place Chicago metro typical values near $338,000 as of late July 2026, with 4.5% year-over-year appreciation amid chronically low inventory and steady buyer demand supported by local corporate employment. Mortgage rates holding near 6% continue to constrain affordability yet have not halted modest price growth, consistent with the market-implied concentration around the $335,000–$345,000 bracket. Seasonal summer activity and limited new listings reinforce the near-term stability priced by traders, while any acceleration in Fed easing or inventory releases before September 30 could shift the distribution toward higher bands.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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