BTS’s “Swim” leads trader consensus for VMA Song of the Year 2026 with a modest edge, reflecting its chart dominance since the March Arirang release and the group’s historically potent fan-voting bloc in the fan-determined category. The competitive field includes Madonna and Sabrina Carpenter’s “Bring Your Love,” which benefits from Madonna’s record 13 nominations and her opening performance slot at the September 27 ceremony, alongside Huntrix’s “Golden,” Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas,” and tracks from Olivia Dean, PinkPantheress with Zara Larsson, and Raye. With voting closing September 25, the market-implied odds highlight how streaming momentum, critical reception, and organized fandoms can sway outcomes in a tightly contested race where no single precursor guarantees the win.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVMA Song of the Year 2026
VMA Song of the Year 2026
Swim (BTS) 54%
Bring Your Love (Madonna and Sabrina Carpenter) 22%
Golden (Huntrix) 11.3%
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 27, 2026
Swim (BTS)
54%
Bring Your Love (Madonna and Sabrina Carpenter)
22%
Golden (Huntrix)
11%
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)
8%
Man I Need (Olivia Dean)
5%
Where Is My Husband! (Raye)
3%
Stateside + Zara Larsson (PinkPantheress)
3%
Swim (BTS) 54%
Bring Your Love (Madonna and Sabrina Carpenter) 22%
Golden (Huntrix) 11.3%
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 27, 2026
Swim (BTS)
$579 Vol.
54%
Bring Your Love (Madonna and Sabrina Carpenter)
$509 Vol.
22%
Golden (Huntrix)
$1 Vol.
11%
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)
$219 Vol.
8%
Man I Need (Olivia Dean)
$1 Vol.
5%
Where Is My Husband! (Raye)
$1 Vol.
3%
Stateside + Zara Larsson (PinkPantheress)
$1 Vol.
3%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.
If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.BTS’s “Swim” leads trader consensus for VMA Song of the Year 2026 with a modest edge, reflecting its chart dominance since the March Arirang release and the group’s historically potent fan-voting bloc in the fan-determined category. The competitive field includes Madonna and Sabrina Carpenter’s “Bring Your Love,” which benefits from Madonna’s record 13 nominations and her opening performance slot at the September 27 ceremony, alongside Huntrix’s “Golden,” Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas,” and tracks from Olivia Dean, PinkPantheress with Zara Larsson, and Raye. With voting closing September 25, the market-implied odds highlight how streaming momentum, critical reception, and organized fandoms can sway outcomes in a tightly contested race where no single precursor guarantees the win.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.
If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.
If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Volume
$1,312End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.
If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.BTS’s “Swim” leads trader consensus for VMA Song of the Year 2026 with a modest edge, reflecting its chart dominance since the March Arirang release and the group’s historically potent fan-voting bloc in the fan-determined category. The competitive field includes Madonna and Sabrina Carpenter’s “Bring Your Love,” which benefits from Madonna’s record 13 nominations and her opening performance slot at the September 27 ceremony, alongside Huntrix’s “Golden,” Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas,” and tracks from Olivia Dean, PinkPantheress with Zara Larsson, and Raye. With voting closing September 25, the market-implied odds highlight how streaming momentum, critical reception, and organized fandoms can sway outcomes in a tightly contested race where no single precursor guarantees the win.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.
If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.
If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,312End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...BTS’s “Swim” leads trader consensus for VMA Song of the Year 2026 with a modest edge, reflecting its chart dominance since the March Arirang release and the group’s historically potent fan-voting bloc in the fan-determined category. The competitive field includes Madonna and Sabrina Carpenter’s “Bring Your Love,” which benefits from Madonna’s record 13 nominations and her opening performance slot at the September 27 ceremony, alongside Huntrix’s “Golden,” Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas,” and tracks from Olivia Dean, PinkPantheress with Zara Larsson, and Raye. With voting closing September 25, the market-implied odds highlight how streaming momentum, critical reception, and organized fandoms can sway outcomes in a tightly contested race where no single precursor guarantees the win.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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