Cardi B featuring Kehlani’s “Safe” leads the VMA Best Hip-Hop market at 62% implied probability, buoyed by its strong commercial footprint from Cardi’s 2025 album cycle and a high-profile music video that aligned with her ongoing visibility in awards conversations. The six-nominee field, revealed in mid-August, features a stacked Houston-heavy slate including Don Toliver’s “E85,” Megan Thee Stallion’s “Lover Girl,” Travis Scott’s “Dumbo,” Drake’s “Janice STFU,” and Tyler, the Creator’s “Sugar on My Tongue,” yet none have matched “Safe” in trader momentum. With fan voting closing September 25 and the September 27 ceremony just days away, any late streaming surges, social campaigns, or performance buzz could still sway the final tally in this closely watched genre category.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVMA Best Hip-Hop 2026
VMA Best Hip-Hop 2026
Safe (Cardi B featuring Kehlani) 62%
E85 (Don Toliver) 10.8%
Lover Girl (Megan Thee Stallion) 10%
Janice STFU (Drake) 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 27, 2026
Safe (Cardi B featuring Kehlani)
62%
E85 (Don Toliver)
11%
Lover Girl (Megan Thee Stallion)
10%
Janice STFU (Drake)
7%
Dumbo (Travis Scott)
4%
Sugar on My Tongue (Tyler, The Creator)
3%
Safe (Cardi B featuring Kehlani) 62%
E85 (Don Toliver) 10.8%
Lover Girl (Megan Thee Stallion) 10%
Janice STFU (Drake) 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 27, 2026
Safe (Cardi B featuring Kehlani)
$895 Vol.
62%
E85 (Don Toliver)
$100 Vol.
11%
Lover Girl (Megan Thee Stallion)
$0 Vol.
10%
Janice STFU (Drake)
$35 Vol.
7%
Dumbo (Travis Scott)
$20 Vol.
4%
Sugar on My Tongue (Tyler, The Creator)
$431 Vol.
3%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cardi B featuring Kehlani’s “Safe” leads the VMA Best Hip-Hop market at 62% implied probability, buoyed by its strong commercial footprint from Cardi’s 2025 album cycle and a high-profile music video that aligned with her ongoing visibility in awards conversations. The six-nominee field, revealed in mid-August, features a stacked Houston-heavy slate including Don Toliver’s “E85,” Megan Thee Stallion’s “Lover Girl,” Travis Scott’s “Dumbo,” Drake’s “Janice STFU,” and Tyler, the Creator’s “Sugar on My Tongue,” yet none have matched “Safe” in trader momentum. With fan voting closing September 25 and the September 27 ceremony just days away, any late streaming surges, social campaigns, or performance buzz could still sway the final tally in this closely watched genre category.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,481End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cardi B featuring Kehlani’s “Safe” leads the VMA Best Hip-Hop market at 62% implied probability, buoyed by its strong commercial footprint from Cardi’s 2025 album cycle and a high-profile music video that aligned with her ongoing visibility in awards conversations. The six-nominee field, revealed in mid-August, features a stacked Houston-heavy slate including Don Toliver’s “E85,” Megan Thee Stallion’s “Lover Girl,” Travis Scott’s “Dumbo,” Drake’s “Janice STFU,” and Tyler, the Creator’s “Sugar on My Tongue,” yet none have matched “Safe” in trader momentum. With fan voting closing September 25 and the September 27 ceremony just days away, any late streaming surges, social campaigns, or performance buzz could still sway the final tally in this closely watched genre category.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,481End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cardi B featuring Kehlani’s “Safe” leads the VMA Best Hip-Hop market at 62% implied probability, buoyed by its strong commercial footprint from Cardi’s 2025 album cycle and a high-profile music video that aligned with her ongoing visibility in awards conversations. The six-nominee field, revealed in mid-August, features a stacked Houston-heavy slate including Don Toliver’s “E85,” Megan Thee Stallion’s “Lover Girl,” Travis Scott’s “Dumbo,” Drake’s “Janice STFU,” and Tyler, the Creator’s “Sugar on My Tongue,” yet none have matched “Safe” in trader momentum. With fan voting closing September 25 and the September 27 ceremony just days away, any late streaming surges, social campaigns, or performance buzz could still sway the final tally in this closely watched genre category.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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