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icon for Vermont Lieutenant Governor Election Winner
Politics·Midterms

Vermont Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

icon for Vermont Lieutenant Governor Election Winner
Politics·Midterms

Vermont Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

Polymarket
NEW
Polymarket
NEW
icon for Molly Gray (D)

Molly Gray (D)

$1,778 Vol.

81%

icon for John S. Rodgers (R)

John S. Rodgers (R)

$1,712 Vol.

19%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Molly Gray leads the Vermont lieutenant governor race with strong trader support following her decisive August 11 Democratic primary victory over Ryan McLaren and Esther Charlestin. As a former officeholder with established name recognition in the solidly Democratic state, her positioning benefits from higher expected turnout in a midterm environment and criticisms of incumbent John Rodgers’ record, including his tie-breaking Senate vote on a controversial judicial nomination. Rodgers, a Republican who flipped the seat in 2024 via a narrow plurality resolved by the General Assembly, remains competitive in a state where Governor Phil Scott has sustained GOP success, though limited recent polling and fundraising gaps contribute to lower implied probability. The November 3 general election outcome hinges on turnout patterns and any late shifts in voter sentiment on state issues like housing and costs.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$3,491
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Molly Gray leads the Vermont lieutenant governor race with strong trader support following her decisive August 11 Democratic primary victory over Ryan McLaren and Esther Charlestin. As a former officeholder with established name recognition in the solidly Democratic state, her positioning benefits from higher expected turnout in a midterm environment and criticisms of incumbent John Rodgers’ record, including his tie-breaking Senate vote on a controversial judicial nomination. Rodgers, a Republican who flipped the seat in 2024 via a narrow plurality resolved by the General Assembly, remains competitive in a state where Governor Phil Scott has sustained GOP success, though limited recent polling and fundraising gaps contribute to lower implied probability. The November 3 general election outcome hinges on turnout patterns and any late shifts in voter sentiment on state issues like housing and costs.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$3,491
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vermont Lieutenant Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Molly Gray (D)" at 81%, followed by "John S. Rodgers (R)" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vermont Lieutenant Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vermont Lieutenant Governor Election Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vermont Lieutenant Governor Election Winner" is "Molly Gray (D)" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John S. Rodgers (R)" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vermont Lieutenant Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.