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icon for Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner
Politics·Midterms

Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner

icon for Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner
Politics·Midterms

Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner

Polymarket
NEW
Polymarket
NEW
icon for Robert Sprague (R)

Robert Sprague (R)

$299 Vol.

69%

icon for Allison Russo (D)

Allison Russo (D)

$678 Vol.

34%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Robert Sprague holds the lead in trader pricing for the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State race at 68.5 percent implied probability, ahead of Allison Russo at 33.5 percent, with the November 3 general election two months away. Sprague secured the Republican nomination in the May primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote after serving as state treasurer, positioning him as the experienced candidate in a state with consistent Republican advantages in statewide contests. Russo advanced as the Democratic nominee with about 68 percent in her primary after her time as House minority leader. Recent campaign focus has centered on election administration, including voter eligibility rules, photo identification requirements, and mail ballot procedures, where Sprague has highlighted measures passed under prior Republican leadership. The presence of a Libertarian candidate adds a minor variable, yet current pricing reflects Sprague's stronger positioning in a Republican-leaning electorate.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$977
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Robert Sprague holds the lead in trader pricing for the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State race at 68.5 percent implied probability, ahead of Allison Russo at 33.5 percent, with the November 3 general election two months away. Sprague secured the Republican nomination in the May primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote after serving as state treasurer, positioning him as the experienced candidate in a state with consistent Republican advantages in statewide contests. Russo advanced as the Democratic nominee with about 68 percent in her primary after her time as House minority leader. Recent campaign focus has centered on election administration, including voter eligibility rules, photo identification requirements, and mail ballot procedures, where Sprague has highlighted measures passed under prior Republican leadership. The presence of a Libertarian candidate adds a minor variable, yet current pricing reflects Sprague's stronger positioning in a Republican-leaning electorate.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$977
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Robert Sprague (R)" at 69%, followed by "Allison Russo (D)" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner" is "Robert Sprague (R)" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Allison Russo (D)" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.