Incumbent Republican Brenna Bird holds a clear edge in trader consensus for the November 2026 Iowa Attorney General election, reflecting her narrow 2022 victory that flipped the office and Iowa’s broader Republican tilt. Nate Willems, the Democratic nominee and former state representative, trails despite competitive early polling that showed the race within the margin of error through mid-2026. Both candidates secured uncontested primaries in June, after which outside groups including the Republican and Democratic Attorneys General Associations committed substantial funding, with Bird maintaining a larger cash advantage. Recent campaign activity, including early television ads and appearances at the Iowa State Fair, has highlighted policy contrasts such as enforcement priorities on wage theft. The 61% implied probability for Bird aligns with historical base rates for Republican incumbents in the state, while the tighter Willems odds capture the potential for Democratic gains in a closely watched contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Brenna Bird (R)
61%
Nate Willems (D)
34%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Brenna Bird (R)
$880 Vol.
61%
Nate Willems (D)
$292 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Iowa Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Incumbent Republican Brenna Bird holds a clear edge in trader consensus for the November 2026 Iowa Attorney General election, reflecting her narrow 2022 victory that flipped the office and Iowa’s broader Republican tilt. Nate Willems, the Democratic nominee and former state representative, trails despite competitive early polling that showed the race within the margin of error through mid-2026. Both candidates secured uncontested primaries in June, after which outside groups including the Republican and Democratic Attorneys General Associations committed substantial funding, with Bird maintaining a larger cash advantage. Recent campaign activity, including early television ads and appearances at the Iowa State Fair, has highlighted policy contrasts such as enforcement priorities on wage theft. The 61% implied probability for Bird aligns with historical base rates for Republican incumbents in the state, while the tighter Willems odds capture the potential for Democratic gains in a closely watched contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Iowa Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
Volume
$1,172End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 1:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Iowa Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Incumbent Republican Brenna Bird holds a clear edge in trader consensus for the November 2026 Iowa Attorney General election, reflecting her narrow 2022 victory that flipped the office and Iowa’s broader Republican tilt. Nate Willems, the Democratic nominee and former state representative, trails despite competitive early polling that showed the race within the margin of error through mid-2026. Both candidates secured uncontested primaries in June, after which outside groups including the Republican and Democratic Attorneys General Associations committed substantial funding, with Bird maintaining a larger cash advantage. Recent campaign activity, including early television ads and appearances at the Iowa State Fair, has highlighted policy contrasts such as enforcement priorities on wage theft. The 61% implied probability for Bird aligns with historical base rates for Republican incumbents in the state, while the tighter Willems odds capture the potential for Democratic gains in a closely watched contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Iowa Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$1,172End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 1:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Republican Brenna Bird holds a clear edge in trader consensus for the November 2026 Iowa Attorney General election, reflecting her narrow 2022 victory that flipped the office and Iowa’s broader Republican tilt. Nate Willems, the Democratic nominee and former state representative, trails despite competitive early polling that showed the race within the margin of error through mid-2026. Both candidates secured uncontested primaries in June, after which outside groups including the Republican and Democratic Attorneys General Associations committed substantial funding, with Bird maintaining a larger cash advantage. Recent campaign activity, including early television ads and appearances at the Iowa State Fair, has highlighted policy contrasts such as enforcement priorities on wage theft. The 61% implied probability for Bird aligns with historical base rates for Republican incumbents in the state, while the tighter Willems odds capture the potential for Democratic gains in a closely watched contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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