Darline Graham Nordone holds a dominant position in the South Carolina Republican primary for the special Senate seat due to her appointment by Governor Henry McMaster to finish her late brother Lindsey Graham’s term, combined with high name recognition and an endorsement from President Trump. These elements allowed her to top a ten-candidate field on August 11 with roughly 33 percent of the vote, advancing ahead of U.S. Rep. Ralph Norman to the August 25 runoff. The market’s 100 percent consensus aligns with verified first-round results showing her as the clear leader. Remaining uncertainty is minimal, though an official recount, certification delay, or unexpected procedural challenge could still shift the recorded outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDarline Graham Nordone 100.0%
Duke Buckner <1%
Russell Fry <1%
Mark Lynch <1%
$628,043 Vol.
$628,043 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
Duke Buckner
No
Russell Fry
No
Darline Graham Nordone
Yes
Mark Lynch
No
Ralph Norman
No
Mark Sanford
No
Sheri Biggs
No
Pamela Evette
No
Trey Gowdy
No
Henry McMaster
No
Darline Graham Nordone 100.0%
Duke Buckner <1%
Russell Fry <1%
Mark Lynch <1%
$628,043 Vol.
$628,043 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
Duke Buckner
$1,440 Vol.
No
Russell Fry
$34,780 Vol.
No
Darline Graham Nordone
$542,346 Vol.
Yes
Mark Lynch
$453 Vol.
No
Ralph Norman
$36,610 Vol.
No
Mark Sanford
$10,552 Vol.
No
Sheri Biggs
$563 Vol.
No
Pamela Evette
$425 Vol.
No
Trey Gowdy
$431 Vol.
No
Henry McMaster
$442 Vol.
No
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Darline Graham Nordone holds a dominant position in the South Carolina Republican primary for the special Senate seat due to her appointment by Governor Henry McMaster to finish her late brother Lindsey Graham’s term, combined with high name recognition and an endorsement from President Trump. These elements allowed her to top a ten-candidate field on August 11 with roughly 33 percent of the vote, advancing ahead of U.S. Rep. Ralph Norman to the August 25 runoff. The market’s 100 percent consensus aligns with verified first-round results showing her as the clear leader. Remaining uncertainty is minimal, though an official recount, certification delay, or unexpected procedural challenge could still shift the recorded outcome before resolution.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Jul 22, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$628,043End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 22, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Darline Graham Nordone holds a dominant position in the South Carolina Republican primary for the special Senate seat due to her appointment by Governor Henry McMaster to finish her late brother Lindsey Graham’s term, combined with high name recognition and an endorsement from President Trump. These elements allowed her to top a ten-candidate field on August 11 with roughly 33 percent of the vote, advancing ahead of U.S. Rep. Ralph Norman to the August 25 runoff. The market’s 100 percent consensus aligns with verified first-round results showing her as the clear leader. Remaining uncertainty is minimal, though an official recount, certification delay, or unexpected procedural challenge could still shift the recorded outcome before resolution.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$628,043End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 22, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Darline Graham Nordone holds a dominant position in the South Carolina Republican primary for the special Senate seat due to her appointment by Governor Henry McMaster to finish her late brother Lindsey Graham’s term, combined with high name recognition and an endorsement from President Trump. These elements allowed her to top a ten-candidate field on August 11 with roughly 33 percent of the vote, advancing ahead of U.S. Rep. Ralph Norman to the August 25 runoff. The market’s 100 percent consensus aligns with verified first-round results showing her as the clear leader. Remaining uncertainty is minimal, though an official recount, certification delay, or unexpected procedural challenge could still shift the recorded outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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