Skip to main content
icon for PA House of Representatives District 12 Special Election Winner
Politics·Deprec USA Election

PA House of Representatives District 12 Special Election Winner

icon for PA House of Representatives District 12 Special Election Winner
Politics·Deprec USA Election

PA House of Representatives District 12 Special Election Winner

Polymarket
NEW
Polymarket
NEW
icon for Scott Timko

Scott Timko

$8,196 Vol.

87%

icon for Brandon Dukes

Brandon Dukes

$1,311 Vol.

14%

A special election is currently scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the 12th district seat in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/. Republican Scott Timko holds a strong lead in the August 18 special election for Pennsylvania House District 12 over Democrat Brandon Dukes, reflecting the district’s Republican tilt in Butler County and surrounding areas. Timko secured the GOP nomination after the primary, while Dukes ran unopposed on the Democratic side. Recent candidate forums and local reporting have highlighted differing priorities on energy policy, taxes, and local infrastructure, with no major late developments shifting the race. The short timeline to Election Day limits opportunities for external events to alter the trajectory, and the two-candidate matchup plus write-in option accounts for the listed alternatives at even odds. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns in similar Pennsylvania legislative districts.

A special election is currently scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the 12th district seat in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/.
Volume
$9,507
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 7:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is currently scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the 12th district seat in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/.
A special election is currently scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the 12th district seat in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/. Republican Scott Timko holds a strong lead in the August 18 special election for Pennsylvania House District 12 over Democrat Brandon Dukes, reflecting the district’s Republican tilt in Butler County and surrounding areas. Timko secured the GOP nomination after the primary, while Dukes ran unopposed on the Democratic side. Recent candidate forums and local reporting have highlighted differing priorities on energy policy, taxes, and local infrastructure, with no major late developments shifting the race. The short timeline to Election Day limits opportunities for external events to alter the trajectory, and the two-candidate matchup plus write-in option accounts for the listed alternatives at even odds. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns in similar Pennsylvania legislative districts.

A special election is currently scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the 12th district seat in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/.
Volume
$9,507
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 7:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is currently scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the 12th district seat in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/.

Related

icon for Will the Democratic Party win the PA-12 House seat?

Will the Democratic Party win the PA-12 House seat?

95%
icon for Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?

Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?

86%
icon for Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?

Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?

92%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"PA House of Representatives District 12 Special Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scott Timko" at 87%, followed by "Brandon Dukes" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"PA House of Representatives District 12 Special Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "PA House of Representatives District 12 Special Election Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PA House of Representatives District 12 Special Election Winner" is "Scott Timko" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brandon Dukes" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PA House of Representatives District 12 Special Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.