Recent U.S. labor market softness, including July nonfarm payrolls missing expectations at -23K, combined with July CPI rising only 0.1% as anticipated, has reduced the implied probability of a September Fed funds rate hike to roughly 40-50% per CME FedWatch data. This has lowered the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, supporting a rebound in XAU/USD toward $4,400–$4,450 levels during the week of August 10 after earlier consolidation near $4,000–$4,100. The U.S. dollar’s softening and moderating Treasury yields have further amplified safe-haven and momentum buying, though elevated real yields and potential volatility around upcoming inflation or policy signals continue to cap upside. Trader sentiment reflects this policy-sensitive repricing rather than structural shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedXAUUSD$4,349.96+0.19%
$44,992 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
↑ $4,650
<1%
↑ $4,600
1%
↑ $4,550
2%
↑ $4,500
1%
↑ $4,450
3%
↓ $4,300
25%
↓ $4,250
4%
↓ $4,200
3%
↓ $4,150
2%
↓ $4,100
<1%
↓ $4,050
<1%
↓ $4,000
1%
XAUUSD$4,349.96+0.19%
$44,992 Vol.
↑ $4,650
$1,105 Vol.
<1%
↑ $4,600
$653 Vol.
1%
↑ $4,550
$1,710 Vol.
2%
↑ $4,500
$9,288 Vol.
1%
↑ $4,450
$12,748 Vol.
3%
↓ $4,300
$6,024 Vol.
25%
↓ $4,250
$3,068 Vol.
4%
↓ $4,200
$1,879 Vol.
3%
↓ $4,150
$945 Vol.
2%
↓ $4,100
$377 Vol.
<1%
↓ $4,050
$922 Vol.
<1%
↓ $4,000
$4,548 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 10 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Recent U.S. labor market softness, including July nonfarm payrolls missing expectations at -23K, combined with July CPI rising only 0.1% as anticipated, has reduced the implied probability of a September Fed funds rate hike to roughly 40-50% per CME FedWatch data. This has lowered the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, supporting a rebound in XAU/USD toward $4,400–$4,450 levels during the week of August 10 after earlier consolidation near $4,000–$4,100. The U.S. dollar’s softening and moderating Treasury yields have further amplified safe-haven and momentum buying, though elevated real yields and potential volatility around upcoming inflation or policy signals continue to cap upside. Trader sentiment reflects this policy-sensitive repricing rather than structural shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 10 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$44,992End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 10 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Recent U.S. labor market softness, including July nonfarm payrolls missing expectations at -23K, combined with July CPI rising only 0.1% as anticipated, has reduced the implied probability of a September Fed funds rate hike to roughly 40-50% per CME FedWatch data. This has lowered the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, supporting a rebound in XAU/USD toward $4,400–$4,450 levels during the week of August 10 after earlier consolidation near $4,000–$4,100. The U.S. dollar’s softening and moderating Treasury yields have further amplified safe-haven and momentum buying, though elevated real yields and potential volatility around upcoming inflation or policy signals continue to cap upside. Trader sentiment reflects this policy-sensitive repricing rather than structural shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 10 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$44,992End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. labor market softness, including July nonfarm payrolls missing expectations at -23K, combined with July CPI rising only 0.1% as anticipated, has reduced the implied probability of a September Fed funds rate hike to roughly 40-50% per CME FedWatch data. This has lowered the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, supporting a rebound in XAU/USD toward $4,400–$4,450 levels during the week of August 10 after earlier consolidation near $4,000–$4,100. The U.S. dollar’s softening and moderating Treasury yields have further amplified safe-haven and momentum buying, though elevated real yields and potential volatility around upcoming inflation or policy signals continue to cap upside. Trader sentiment reflects this policy-sensitive repricing rather than structural shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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