OpenAI’s September 1–2 announcements that Astra, its frontier multi-agent large language model, has reached the company’s “Critical” cybersecurity threshold under the Preparedness Framework have driven the strong market consensus around an immediate release. After pausing select training runs in August to bolster safeguards against misuse following the Hugging Face incident, OpenAI confirmed new controls, 100% ExploitBench performance, and zero-day discovery capabilities while stating it plans to make the model “available soon,” with advanced cyber features initially restricted to select testers via its Daybreak Blue program. Traders appear to interpret the timing of these verified safety clearances and the absence of further stated delays as pointing to a September 3 rollout rather than later windows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOpenAI's Astra released on...?
OpenAI's Astra released on...?
September 3 80.0%
September 4 8.1%
September 27 4.8%
No release by September 30 3.1%
NEW
$48,423 Vol.
NEW
$48,423 Vol.
Sep 2, 2026
On or prior to September 2
1%
September 3
80%
September 4
8%
September 5
1%
September 6
1%
September 7
2%
September 8
1%
September 9
1%
September 10
2%
September 11
1%
September 12
1%
September 13
1%
September 14
1%
September 15
2%
September 16
1%
September 17
1%
September 18
1%
September 19
1%
September 20
1%
September 21
1%
September 22
1%
September 23
1%
September 24
1%
September 25
1%
September 26
1%
September 27
5%
September 28
1%
September 29
1%
September 30
1%
No release by September 30
3%
September 3 80.0%
September 4 8.1%
September 27 4.8%
No release by September 30 3.1%
NEW
$48,423 Vol.
NEW
$48,423 Vol.
Sep 2, 2026
On or prior to September 2
$3,096 Vol.
1%
September 3
$14,365 Vol.
80%
September 4
$3,193 Vol.
8%
September 5
$1,702 Vol.
1%
September 6
$892 Vol.
1%
September 7
$961 Vol.
2%
September 8
$704 Vol.
1%
September 9
$808 Vol.
1%
September 10
$1,280 Vol.
2%
September 11
$756 Vol.
1%
September 12
$733 Vol.
1%
September 13
$834 Vol.
1%
September 14
$766 Vol.
1%
September 15
$1,185 Vol.
2%
September 16
$855 Vol.
1%
September 17
$928 Vol.
1%
September 18
$755 Vol.
1%
September 19
$755 Vol.
1%
September 20
$855 Vol.
1%
September 21
$1,038 Vol.
1%
September 22
$755 Vol.
1%
September 23
$902 Vol.
1%
September 24
$1,803 Vol.
1%
September 25
$1,015 Vol.
1%
September 26
$802 Vol.
1%
September 27
$1,660 Vol.
5%
September 28
$1,121 Vol.
1%
September 29
$755 Vol.
1%
September 30
$765 Vol.
1%
No release by September 30
$2,384 Vol.
3%
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s September 1–2 announcements that Astra, its frontier multi-agent large language model, has reached the company’s “Critical” cybersecurity threshold under the Preparedness Framework have driven the strong market consensus around an immediate release. After pausing select training runs in August to bolster safeguards against misuse following the Hugging Face incident, OpenAI confirmed new controls, 100% ExploitBench performance, and zero-day discovery capabilities while stating it plans to make the model “available soon,” with advanced cyber features initially restricted to select testers via its Daybreak Blue program. Traders appear to interpret the timing of these verified safety clearances and the absence of further stated delays as pointing to a September 3 rollout rather than later windows.
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Volume
$48,423End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s September 1–2 announcements that Astra, its frontier multi-agent large language model, has reached the company’s “Critical” cybersecurity threshold under the Preparedness Framework have driven the strong market consensus around an immediate release. After pausing select training runs in August to bolster safeguards against misuse following the Hugging Face incident, OpenAI confirmed new controls, 100% ExploitBench performance, and zero-day discovery capabilities while stating it plans to make the model “available soon,” with advanced cyber features initially restricted to select testers via its Daybreak Blue program. Traders appear to interpret the timing of these verified safety clearances and the absence of further stated delays as pointing to a September 3 rollout rather than later windows.
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$48,423End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s September 1–2 announcements that Astra, its frontier multi-agent large language model, has reached the company’s “Critical” cybersecurity threshold under the Preparedness Framework have driven the strong market consensus around an immediate release. After pausing select training runs in August to bolster safeguards against misuse following the Hugging Face incident, OpenAI confirmed new controls, 100% ExploitBench performance, and zero-day discovery capabilities while stating it plans to make the model “available soon,” with advanced cyber features initially restricted to select testers via its Daybreak Blue program. Traders appear to interpret the timing of these verified safety clearances and the absence of further stated delays as pointing to a September 3 rollout rather than later windows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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