NY-07 stands as one of New York’s most reliably Democratic congressional districts, covering heavily left-leaning areas of Brooklyn and Queens that delivered strong margins for prior incumbent Nydia Velázquez. Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination in a June 2026 primary landslide, consolidating support from progressive and DSA-aligned voters in an open-seat contest following Velázquez’s retirement. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district’s partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. Melvin Rivera’s nomination offers little counterweight. A national Republican surge or unusually high turnout among conservative voters could narrow the gap, though structural barriers in the district make an upset improbable absent dramatic shifts before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-07 House Election Winner
NY-07 House Election Winner
$29,813 Vol.
$29,813 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$29,813 Vol.
$29,813 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,452 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$14,361 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-07 stands as one of New York’s most reliably Democratic congressional districts, covering heavily left-leaning areas of Brooklyn and Queens that delivered strong margins for prior incumbent Nydia Velázquez. Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination in a June 2026 primary landslide, consolidating support from progressive and DSA-aligned voters in an open-seat contest following Velázquez’s retirement. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district’s partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. Melvin Rivera’s nomination offers little counterweight. A national Republican surge or unusually high turnout among conservative voters could narrow the gap, though structural barriers in the district make an upset improbable absent dramatic shifts before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$29,813End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-07 stands as one of New York’s most reliably Democratic congressional districts, covering heavily left-leaning areas of Brooklyn and Queens that delivered strong margins for prior incumbent Nydia Velázquez. Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination in a June 2026 primary landslide, consolidating support from progressive and DSA-aligned voters in an open-seat contest following Velázquez’s retirement. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district’s partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. Melvin Rivera’s nomination offers little counterweight. A national Republican surge or unusually high turnout among conservative voters could narrow the gap, though structural barriers in the district make an upset improbable absent dramatic shifts before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,813End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-07 stands as one of New York’s most reliably Democratic congressional districts, covering heavily left-leaning areas of Brooklyn and Queens that delivered strong margins for prior incumbent Nydia Velázquez. Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination in a June 2026 primary landslide, consolidating support from progressive and DSA-aligned voters in an open-seat contest following Velázquez’s retirement. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district’s partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. Melvin Rivera’s nomination offers little counterweight. A national Republican surge or unusually high turnout among conservative voters could narrow the gap, though structural barriers in the district make an upset improbable absent dramatic shifts before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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