Ongoing Ukrainian drone attacks have repeatedly prompted Russian authorities to suspend arrivals and departures at Moscow's major airports, including Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo, as well as impose broader airspace restrictions such as lowered flight altitudes and bans on transit over the region. These measures, implemented for security reasons amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict, caused multiple temporary closures in June 2026 and led to updated NOTAMs effective through at least August. Recent U.S. Embassy advisories highlight the pattern of frequent disruptions. Traders monitor escalation signals, Ukrainian strike patterns, and Russian air defense responses, as these directly influence the likelihood and timing of further suspensions within resolution windows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMoscow air traffic suspended by...?
Moscow air traffic suspended by...?
$42,670 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
99%
$42,670 Vol.
August 31
$37,813 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing Ukrainian drone attacks have repeatedly prompted Russian authorities to suspend arrivals and departures at Moscow's major airports, including Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo, as well as impose broader airspace restrictions such as lowered flight altitudes and bans on transit over the region. These measures, implemented for security reasons amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict, caused multiple temporary closures in June 2026 and led to updated NOTAMs effective through at least August. Recent U.S. Embassy advisories highlight the pattern of frequent disruptions. Traders monitor escalation signals, Ukrainian strike patterns, and Russian air defense responses, as these directly influence the likelihood and timing of further suspensions within resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
Volume
$42,670End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing Ukrainian drone attacks have repeatedly prompted Russian authorities to suspend arrivals and departures at Moscow's major airports, including Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo, as well as impose broader airspace restrictions such as lowered flight altitudes and bans on transit over the region. These measures, implemented for security reasons amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict, caused multiple temporary closures in June 2026 and led to updated NOTAMs effective through at least August. Recent U.S. Embassy advisories highlight the pattern of frequent disruptions. Traders monitor escalation signals, Ukrainian strike patterns, and Russian air defense responses, as these directly influence the likelihood and timing of further suspensions within resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$42,670End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Ukrainian drone attacks have repeatedly prompted Russian authorities to suspend arrivals and departures at Moscow's major airports, including Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo, as well as impose broader airspace restrictions such as lowered flight altitudes and bans on transit over the region. These measures, implemented for security reasons amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict, caused multiple temporary closures in June 2026 and led to updated NOTAMs effective through at least August. Recent U.S. Embassy advisories highlight the pattern of frequent disruptions. Traders monitor escalation signals, Ukrainian strike patterns, and Russian air defense responses, as these directly influence the likelihood and timing of further suspensions within resolution windows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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