Morocco's September 23, 2026, legislative elections feature a fragmented field where trader consensus prices PI and RNI as the leading contenders for third place amid low overall public trust in institutions. Recent cross-party consultations on electoral rules, Interior Ministry meetings with party leaders, and concerns over youth registration rates below 3 percent of eligible voters have kept probabilities tight by underscoring uncertainty in turnout and coalition dynamics. Incumbent RNI's governing record alongside PAM and PI's established parliamentary bases create competing paths to third, while smaller parties like PJD face steeper structural barriers. Upcoming campaign period from September 10 could introduce shifts through candidate positioning or voter mobilization efforts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPI 43%
RNI 36%
PAM 6%
PJD 3.4%
$15,410 Vol.
$15,410 Vol.

PI
43%

RNI
36%

PAM
6%

PJD
3%

MP
1%

UC
1%

PPS
<1%

USFP
<1%
PI 43%
RNI 36%
PAM 6%
PJD 3.4%
$15,410 Vol.
$15,410 Vol.

PI
43%

RNI
36%

PAM
6%

PJD
3%

MP
1%

UC
1%

PPS
<1%

USFP
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Morocco's September 23, 2026, legislative elections feature a fragmented field where trader consensus prices PI and RNI as the leading contenders for third place amid low overall public trust in institutions. Recent cross-party consultations on electoral rules, Interior Ministry meetings with party leaders, and concerns over youth registration rates below 3 percent of eligible voters have kept probabilities tight by underscoring uncertainty in turnout and coalition dynamics. Incumbent RNI's governing record alongside PAM and PI's established parliamentary bases create competing paths to third, while smaller parties like PJD face steeper structural barriers. Upcoming campaign period from September 10 could introduce shifts through candidate positioning or voter mobilization efforts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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