The September 23, 2026, Moroccan legislative elections feature a fragmented multi-party field where the incumbent coalition of RNI, PAM, and PI holds the largest seat shares from 2021 and faces limited recent polling data. This structure sustains tight implied probabilities for second place, with PI at 41.3 percent, RNI at 25.5 percent, and PAM at 21.5 percent reflecting trader consensus on uncertain voter realignment and coalition performance. August 2025 cross-party meetings on electoral framework rules produced no decisive shifts, while broader public distrust and standard five-year cycles reinforce the competitive balance. Separation could emerge from late registration trends, candidate lists, or turnout patterns among key voting blocs in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPI 38.7%
RNI 26%
PAM 21%
UC 1.1%
$27,902 Vol.
$27,902 Vol.

PI
39%

RNI
26%

PAM
21%

UC
1%

MP
1%

PJD
1%

PPS
<1%

USFP
<1%
PI 38.7%
RNI 26%
PAM 21%
UC 1.1%
$27,902 Vol.
$27,902 Vol.

PI
39%

RNI
26%

PAM
21%

UC
1%

MP
1%

PJD
1%

PPS
<1%

USFP
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The September 23, 2026, Moroccan legislative elections feature a fragmented multi-party field where the incumbent coalition of RNI, PAM, and PI holds the largest seat shares from 2021 and faces limited recent polling data. This structure sustains tight implied probabilities for second place, with PI at 41.3 percent, RNI at 25.5 percent, and PAM at 21.5 percent reflecting trader consensus on uncertain voter realignment and coalition performance. August 2025 cross-party meetings on electoral framework rules produced no decisive shifts, while broader public distrust and standard five-year cycles reinforce the competitive balance. Separation could emerge from late registration trends, candidate lists, or turnout patterns among key voting blocs in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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