Zack Wheeler leads the NL Comeback Player of the Year market at 70% implied probability due to his dominant 2026 return following thoracic outlet syndrome surgery and a missed final month in 2025. The Phillies right-hander has posted a sub-2.20 ERA across roughly 15 starts, including strong strikeout rates and a 10-1 record that has anchored Philadelphia’s improved standings position. Sandy Alcantara sits second at 13.5% after rebounding from Tommy John surgery with improved command and multiple quality starts, though his overall ERA hovers near 3.80. Lower-probability names such as Brandon Woodruff and Michael Harris II reflect partial recoveries from prior injuries, but lack Wheeler’s combination of volume, efficiency, and recent dominance through mid-August. Trader consensus aligns with official injury timelines and performance trends favoring the veteran starter.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZack Wheeler 70%
Sandy Alcantara 11%
Brandon Woodruff 4.8%
Tanner Scott 4.4%
$148,714 Vol.
$148,714 Vol.
Zack Wheeler
70%
Sandy Alcantara
12%
Brandon Woodruff
5%
Tanner Scott
4%
Michael Harris II
4%
Shota Imanaga
1%
Ezequiel Tovar
1%
O'Neil Cruz
1%
Porter Hodge
1%
Sean Manaea
1%
Zack Wheeler 70%
Sandy Alcantara 11%
Brandon Woodruff 4.8%
Tanner Scott 4.4%
$148,714 Vol.
$148,714 Vol.
Zack Wheeler
70%
Sandy Alcantara
12%
Brandon Woodruff
5%
Tanner Scott
4%
Michael Harris II
4%
Shota Imanaga
1%
Ezequiel Tovar
1%
O'Neil Cruz
1%
Porter Hodge
1%
Sean Manaea
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Zack Wheeler leads the NL Comeback Player of the Year market at 70% implied probability due to his dominant 2026 return following thoracic outlet syndrome surgery and a missed final month in 2025. The Phillies right-hander has posted a sub-2.20 ERA across roughly 15 starts, including strong strikeout rates and a 10-1 record that has anchored Philadelphia’s improved standings position. Sandy Alcantara sits second at 13.5% after rebounding from Tommy John surgery with improved command and multiple quality starts, though his overall ERA hovers near 3.80. Lower-probability names such as Brandon Woodruff and Michael Harris II reflect partial recoveries from prior injuries, but lack Wheeler’s combination of volume, efficiency, and recent dominance through mid-August. Trader consensus aligns with official injury timelines and performance trends favoring the veteran starter.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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