Skip to main content
icon for MLB: NL Rookie of the Year
Sports·Awards

MLB: NL Rookie of the Year

icon for MLB: NL Rookie of the Year
Sports·Awards

MLB: NL Rookie of the Year

JJ Wetherholt 67%

Sal Stewart 26%

Nolan McLean 4.0%

Carson Benge 3.8%

Polymarket

$985,832 Vol.

JJ Wetherholt 67%

Sal Stewart 26%

Nolan McLean 4.0%

Carson Benge 3.8%

Polymarket

$985,832 Vol.

JJ Wetherholt

$24,768 Vol.

67%

Sal Stewart

$25,143 Vol.

26%

Nolan McLean

$6,869 Vol.

4%

Carson Benge

$1,795 Vol.

4%

Bryce Eldridge

$5,050 Vol.

3%

TJ Rumfield

$1,234 Vol.

3%

Owen Caissie

$562,202 Vol.

1%

Konnor Griffin

$20,416 Vol.

<1%

Didier Fuentes

$199,642 Vol.

<1%

Justin Crawford

$1,253 Vol.

<1%

A.J. Ewing

$88 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Chandler

$123,951 Vol.

<1%

Esmerlyn Valdez

$88 Vol.

<1%

Rhett Lowder

$1,465 Vol.

<1%

Ryan Waldschmidt

$832 Vol.

<1%

Robby Snelling

$960 Vol.

<1%

Logan Henderson

$1,546 Vol.

<1%

Jonah Tong

$775 Vol.

<1%

Charlie Condon

$687 Vol.

<1%

Zac Veen

$1,886 Vol.

<1%

Moises Ballesteros

$2,753 Vol.

<1%

Andrew Painter

$903 Vol.

<1%

Jett Williams

$1,525 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.JJ Wetherholt holds the strongest trader consensus at 67% implied probability for NL Rookie of the Year due to his elite all-around profile, including MLB-leading defensive run value among second basemen, strong baserunning metrics, and 4.5 fWAR through mid-August. Cardinals infielder Wetherholt posts a .245 average with 16 home runs, 13 steals, and a .731 OPS while delivering consistent value across batting, fielding, and speed. Cincinnati's Sal Stewart sits at 25.5% on the strength of superior power production, including 25-plus home runs and 87-plus RBIs with an .804 OPS, though his lower overall WAR reflects more limited defensive and baserunning impact. An early-August MLB.com poll tie between the two reflects this split, with recent July gains by Stewart narrowing but not closing the gap in market pricing. Lower-probability names such as Carson Benge and Nolan McLean trail significantly behind these front-runners.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$985,832
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.JJ Wetherholt holds the strongest trader consensus at 67% implied probability for NL Rookie of the Year due to his elite all-around profile, including MLB-leading defensive run value among second basemen, strong baserunning metrics, and 4.5 fWAR through mid-August. Cardinals infielder Wetherholt posts a .245 average with 16 home runs, 13 steals, and a .731 OPS while delivering consistent value across batting, fielding, and speed. Cincinnati's Sal Stewart sits at 25.5% on the strength of superior power production, including 25-plus home runs and 87-plus RBIs with an .804 OPS, though his lower overall WAR reflects more limited defensive and baserunning impact. An early-August MLB.com poll tie between the two reflects this split, with recent July gains by Stewart narrowing but not closing the gap in market pricing. Lower-probability names such as Carson Benge and Nolan McLean trail significantly behind these front-runners.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$985,832
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

87%
icon for Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

88%
icon for Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?

Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?

49%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: NL Rookie of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "JJ Wetherholt" at 67%, followed by "Sal Stewart" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: NL Rookie of the Year" has generated $985.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: NL Rookie of the Year," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: NL Rookie of the Year" is "JJ Wetherholt" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sal Stewart" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: NL Rookie of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.