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Sports·MLB

MLB: AL Comeback Player of the Year

icon for MLB: AL Comeback Player of the Year
Sports·MLB

MLB: AL Comeback Player of the Year

Yordan Alvarez 80%

Gerrit Cole 6.3%

Jonathan India 4.3%

Zack Gelof 4.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Yordan Alvarez 80%

Gerrit Cole 6.3%

Jonathan India 4.3%

Zack Gelof 4.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Yordan Alvarez

$3,609 Vol.

80%

Gerrit Cole

$371 Vol.

6%

Jonathan India

$57 Vol.

4%

Zack Gelof

$154 Vol.

4%

Anthony Volpe

$67 Vol.

3%

Kristian Campbell

$50 Vol.

2%

Mike Trout

$130 Vol.

2%

Anthony Santander

$63 Vol.

1%

Adley Rutschman

$67 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yordan Alvarez anchors the AL Comeback Player of the Year market at an 80% implied probability due to his dominant 2026 rebound after missing most of 2025 with a fractured right hand and ankle sprain. The Houston Astros DH/outfielder leads the American League in batting average and home runs while posting a .329/.442/.640 slash line with 35 homers and 85 RBIs through mid-August, positioning him as the frontrunner for both this award and AL MVP honors. Other contenders trail significantly, with Jonathan India at 7.8% and Gerrit Cole at 6.3% reflecting more modest returns from prior injury or performance dips. Trader consensus highlights Alvarez’s sustained health, elite production, and statistical separation as the primary drivers of current positioning.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,569
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yordan Alvarez anchors the AL Comeback Player of the Year market at an 80% implied probability due to his dominant 2026 rebound after missing most of 2025 with a fractured right hand and ankle sprain. The Houston Astros DH/outfielder leads the American League in batting average and home runs while posting a .329/.442/.640 slash line with 35 homers and 85 RBIs through mid-August, positioning him as the frontrunner for both this award and AL MVP honors. Other contenders trail significantly, with Jonathan India at 7.8% and Gerrit Cole at 6.3% reflecting more modest returns from prior injury or performance dips. Trader consensus highlights Alvarez’s sustained health, elite production, and statistical separation as the primary drivers of current positioning.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,569
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: AL Comeback Player of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Yordan Alvarez" at 80%, followed by "Gerrit Cole" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: AL Comeback Player of the Year" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: AL Comeback Player of the Year," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: AL Comeback Player of the Year" is "Yordan Alvarez" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gerrit Cole" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: AL Comeback Player of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.