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MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner

icon for MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner
Sports·Award

MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner

Jacob Misiorowski 88.1%

Chris Sale 5.5%

Cristopher Sanchez 3.7%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1.7%

Polymarket

$1,078,392 Vol.

Jacob Misiorowski 88.1%

Chris Sale 5.5%

Cristopher Sanchez 3.7%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1.7%

Polymarket

$1,078,392 Vol.

Jacob Misiorowski

$23,538 Vol.

88%

Chris Sale

$10,906 Vol.

5%

Cristopher Sanchez

$52,377 Vol.

4%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

$12,139 Vol.

2%

Shohei Ohtani

$22,026 Vol.

1%

Nolan McLean

$586,235 Vol.

1%

Paul Skenes

$30,715 Vol.

1%

Zack Wheeler

$7,728 Vol.

1%

Brandon Woodruff

$107,806 Vol.

<1%

Freddy Peralta

$112,510 Vol.

<1%

Eury Perez

$95,000 Vol.

<1%

Hunter Greene

$1,202 Vol.

<1%

Blake Snell

$1,147 Vol.

<1%

Logan Webb

$1,124 Vol.

<1%

Spencer Strider

$751 Vol.

<1%

Spencer Schwellenbach

$619 Vol.

<1%

Jesus Luzardo

$2,473 Vol.

<1%

Tyler Glasnow

$1,906 Vol.

<1%

Michael King

$2,070 Vol.

<1%

Nick Pivetta

$1,322 Vol.

<1%

Nick Lodolo

$799 Vol.

<1%

Mitch Keller

$658 Vol.

<1%

Mason Miller

$3,340 Vol.

<1%

Chase Burns

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jacob Misiorowski's historic dominance has driven the Milwaukee Brewers right-hander to an overwhelming 87.8% implied probability in the 2026 NL Cy Young market. The 24-year-old leads qualified starters with a 1.76 ERA, 204 strikeouts, and 0.74 WHIP across 133 innings while posting an 11-5 record and elite strikeout rates that have included multiple double-digit outings in recent weeks. Voter polls reflect this edge, with Misiorowski topping expert rankings by wide margins after sustained stretches of sub-1.00 ERA ball since May. Chris Sale, Cristopher Sanchez, and others trail due to higher ERAs or fewer strikeouts despite solid seasons. A late injury, sharp decline in command, or an unprecedented surge by a challenger with superior win totals could still shift the consensus before the season concludes.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,078,392
End Date
Nov 12, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jacob Misiorowski's historic dominance has driven the Milwaukee Brewers right-hander to an overwhelming 87.8% implied probability in the 2026 NL Cy Young market. The 24-year-old leads qualified starters with a 1.76 ERA, 204 strikeouts, and 0.74 WHIP across 133 innings while posting an 11-5 record and elite strikeout rates that have included multiple double-digit outings in recent weeks. Voter polls reflect this edge, with Misiorowski topping expert rankings by wide margins after sustained stretches of sub-1.00 ERA ball since May. Chris Sale, Cristopher Sanchez, and others trail due to higher ERAs or fewer strikeouts despite solid seasons. A late injury, sharp decline in command, or an unprecedented surge by a challenger with superior win totals could still shift the consensus before the season concludes.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,078,392
End Date
Nov 12, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jacob Misiorowski" at 88%, followed by "Chris Sale" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner" is "Jacob Misiorowski" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chris Sale" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.