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Politics·Primaries

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Dan Koh 77%

Tram Nguyen 18.0%

Kevin Larivee 1.2%

John Beccia <1%

Polymarket

$67,866 Vol.

Dan Koh 77%

Tram Nguyen 18.0%

Kevin Larivee 1.2%

John Beccia <1%

Polymarket

$67,866 Vol.

icon for Dan Koh

Dan Koh

$14,648 Vol.

77%

icon for Tram Nguyen

Tram Nguyen

$10,741 Vol.

18%

icon for Kevin Larivee

Kevin Larivee

$2,850 Vol.

1%

icon for John Beccia

John Beccia

$5,006 Vol.

1%

icon for Beth Andres-Beck

Beth Andres-Beck

$3,416 Vol.

1%

icon for Seth Moulton

Seth Moulton

$3,217 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dominick Pangallo

Dominick Pangallo

$7,109 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mariah Lancaster

Mariah Lancaster

$3,037 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

$3,970 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rick Jakious

Rick Jakious

$4,380 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rachel Creemers

Rachel Creemers

$3,425 Vol.

<1%

icon for Diann Slavit Baylis

Diann Slavit Baylis

$6,065 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh's commanding position in the MA-06 Democratic primary stems from his substantial fundraising lead, with roughly $4.5 million raised and millions in cash reserves that have funded sustained television advertising emphasizing opposition to the Trump administration. An internal poll released in early August showed him at 34% support with a 19-point advantage among likely voters, underscoring his edge in name recognition and resources ahead of the September 1 primary for the open seat. State Representative Tram Nguyen trails as the main challenger, leveraging her legislative record and personal biography in limited ads while calling for additional debates. Other candidates remain marginal in polling and spending, limiting their ability to close the gap in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$67,866
End Date
Sep 15, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh's commanding position in the MA-06 Democratic primary stems from his substantial fundraising lead, with roughly $4.5 million raised and millions in cash reserves that have funded sustained television advertising emphasizing opposition to the Trump administration. An internal poll released in early August showed him at 34% support with a 19-point advantage among likely voters, underscoring his edge in name recognition and resources ahead of the September 1 primary for the open seat. State Representative Tram Nguyen trails as the main challenger, leveraging her legislative record and personal biography in limited ads while calling for additional debates. Other candidates remain marginal in polling and spending, limiting their ability to close the gap in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$67,866
End Date
Sep 15, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dan Koh" at 77%, followed by "Tram Nguyen" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $67.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Dan Koh" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tram Nguyen" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.