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icon for Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place
Politics·Primaries

Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place

icon for Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place
Politics·Primaries

Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place

Jay Collins 73%

James Fishback 27%

Paul Renner <1%

Byron Donalds <1%

Polymarket

$48,651 Vol.

Jay Collins 73%

James Fishback 27%

Paul Renner <1%

Byron Donalds <1%

Polymarket

$48,651 Vol.

icon for Jay Collins

Jay Collins

$18,395 Vol.

73%

icon for James Fishback

James Fishback

$18,770 Vol.

27%

icon for Paul Renner

Paul Renner

$3,063 Vol.

1%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$3,440 Vol.

1%

icon for Jim Holcomb

Jim Holcomb

$543 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arthur Joseph McCaffrey

Arthur Joseph McCaffrey

$1,047 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Nokovich

Daniel Nokovich

$791 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rachel Rodriguez

Rachel Rodriguez

$717 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Walker Shaw

James Walker Shaw

$511 Vol.

<1%

icon for Caneste Succe

Caneste Succe

$788 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bobby Williams

Bobby Williams

$586 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Jay Collins holds the strongest position to finish second in Florida's August 18 Republican primary for governor because he serves as the current lieutenant governor, giving him statewide name recognition and institutional support in a crowded field where Byron Donalds is widely viewed as the frontrunner. Recent court rulings upheld James Fishback's ballot eligibility after Collins challenged his residency compliance, keeping the investor and self-described constitutional conservative in the race and sustaining his visibility among voters seeking an alternative. Former House Speaker Paul Renner and other candidates trail significantly, with limited polling or endorsement momentum to challenge the top two. The three-day timeline to primary day and ongoing early voting leave little room for late shifts absent major developments.

This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$48,651
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Jay Collins holds the strongest position to finish second in Florida's August 18 Republican primary for governor because he serves as the current lieutenant governor, giving him statewide name recognition and institutional support in a crowded field where Byron Donalds is widely viewed as the frontrunner. Recent court rulings upheld James Fishback's ballot eligibility after Collins challenged his residency compliance, keeping the investor and self-described constitutional conservative in the race and sustaining his visibility among voters seeking an alternative. Former House Speaker Paul Renner and other candidates trail significantly, with limited polling or endorsement momentum to challenge the top two. The three-day timeline to primary day and ongoing early voting leave little room for late shifts absent major developments.

This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$48,651
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Related

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Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

98%
icon for Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?

Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?

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icon for Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?

Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jay Collins" at 73%, followed by "James Fishback" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place" has generated $48.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place" is "Jay Collins" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "James Fishback" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.