Alexander Vindman holds a commanding lead in the Florida Democratic Senate primary, scheduled for August 18, due to his substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $14 million, national profile from prior government service, and positioning as the candidate best equipped to compete in the general election against Republican Sen. Ashley Moody. State Rep. Angie Nixon has emphasized progressive priorities and grassroots organizing but trails significantly in resources and broader party support. Other declared candidates have largely withdrawn or failed to qualify. With voting imminent, trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though shifts could arise from unusually high progressive turnout or last-minute developments in the final days before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlexander Vindman 92.5%
Angie Nixon 7.7%
Josh Weil <1%
Jennifer Jenkins <1%
$189,410 Vol.
$189,410 Vol.

Alexander Vindman
92%

Angie Nixon
8%

Josh Weil
<1%

Jennifer Jenkins
<1%

Charlie Crist
<1%

Alan Grayson
<1%

Joey Atkins
<1%

Jared Moskowitz
<1%
Alexander Vindman 92.5%
Angie Nixon 7.7%
Josh Weil <1%
Jennifer Jenkins <1%
$189,410 Vol.
$189,410 Vol.

Alexander Vindman
92%

Angie Nixon
8%

Josh Weil
<1%

Jennifer Jenkins
<1%

Charlie Crist
<1%

Alan Grayson
<1%

Joey Atkins
<1%

Jared Moskowitz
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 2, 2025, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alexander Vindman holds a commanding lead in the Florida Democratic Senate primary, scheduled for August 18, due to his substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $14 million, national profile from prior government service, and positioning as the candidate best equipped to compete in the general election against Republican Sen. Ashley Moody. State Rep. Angie Nixon has emphasized progressive priorities and grassroots organizing but trails significantly in resources and broader party support. Other declared candidates have largely withdrawn or failed to qualify. With voting imminent, trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though shifts could arise from unusually high progressive turnout or last-minute developments in the final days before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions