The closely contested Republican primary for Florida's 14th congressional district features a fragmented field of eight candidates, with state Rep. Kevin Steele holding a narrow edge in trader consensus over former state Rep. Mike Beltran and several others amid recent polling that shows both frontrunners in the 25-35% range with substantial undecided voters. The August 18 vote date concentrates attention on last-minute endorsements, self-funding by Beltran, and Steele's legislative record as key factors that could consolidate support in the final days. High uncertainty around turnout among Republican primary voters and limited name recognition for the rest of the field sustain tight implied probabilities across the top contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKevin Steele 54%
Mike Beltran 42%
Ergin "Batman" Tek <1%
Michael Marcel <1%
$22,697 Vol.
$22,697 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
Kevin Steele
54%
Mike Beltran
42%
Ergin "Batman" Tek
<1%
Michael Marcel
<1%
John Peters
<1%
Robert "Rocky" Rochford
<1%
Gavriel Soriano
<1%
Bea Valenti
<1%
Kevin Steele 54%
Mike Beltran 42%
Ergin "Batman" Tek <1%
Michael Marcel <1%
$22,697 Vol.
$22,697 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
Kevin Steele
$5,139 Vol.
54%
Mike Beltran
$14,075 Vol.
42%
Ergin "Batman" Tek
$688 Vol.
<1%
Michael Marcel
$769 Vol.
<1%
John Peters
$592 Vol.
<1%
Robert "Rocky" Rochford
$574 Vol.
<1%
Gavriel Soriano
$335 Vol.
<1%
Bea Valenti
$525 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The closely contested Republican primary for Florida's 14th congressional district features a fragmented field of eight candidates, with state Rep. Kevin Steele holding a narrow edge in trader consensus over former state Rep. Mike Beltran and several others amid recent polling that shows both frontrunners in the 25-35% range with substantial undecided voters. The August 18 vote date concentrates attention on last-minute endorsements, self-funding by Beltran, and Steele's legislative record as key factors that could consolidate support in the final days. High uncertainty around turnout among Republican primary voters and limited name recognition for the rest of the field sustain tight implied probabilities across the top contenders.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
Volume
$22,697End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 3:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The closely contested Republican primary for Florida's 14th congressional district features a fragmented field of eight candidates, with state Rep. Kevin Steele holding a narrow edge in trader consensus over former state Rep. Mike Beltran and several others amid recent polling that shows both frontrunners in the 25-35% range with substantial undecided voters. The August 18 vote date concentrates attention on last-minute endorsements, self-funding by Beltran, and Steele's legislative record as key factors that could consolidate support in the final days. High uncertainty around turnout among Republican primary voters and limited name recognition for the rest of the field sustain tight implied probabilities across the top contenders.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$22,697End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 3:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested Republican primary for Florida's 14th congressional district features a fragmented field of eight candidates, with state Rep. Kevin Steele holding a narrow edge in trader consensus over former state Rep. Mike Beltran and several others amid recent polling that shows both frontrunners in the 25-35% range with substantial undecided voters. The August 18 vote date concentrates attention on last-minute endorsements, self-funding by Beltran, and Steele's legislative record as key factors that could consolidate support in the final days. High uncertainty around turnout among Republican primary voters and limited name recognition for the rest of the field sustain tight implied probabilities across the top contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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