Recent polling shows the FL-14 Republican primary remains tight between leading contenders Kevin Steele and Mike Beltran, with no candidate reaching a clear majority in a crowded eight-person field ahead of the August 18 vote. Steele, a sitting state representative who resigned to run, holds an edge in recent fundraising totals and name recognition in parts of the redrawn district, while Beltran, a former state representative, posted a narrow lead in his internal survey conducted in early August. Minor candidates continue to draw low single-digit support, potentially fragmenting the vote. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with the race hinging on final turnout, last-minute endorsements, and any late shifts among undecided Republican primary voters in the Tampa Bay area.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKevin Steele 54%
Mike Beltran 42%
Ergin "Batman" Tek <1%
Michael Marcel <1%
$22,657 Vol.
$22,657 Vol.
Kevin Steele
54%
Mike Beltran
42%
Ergin "Batman" Tek
<1%
Michael Marcel
<1%
John Peters
<1%
Robert "Rocky" Rochford
<1%
Gavriel Soriano
<1%
Bea Valenti
<1%
Kevin Steele 54%
Mike Beltran 42%
Ergin "Batman" Tek <1%
Michael Marcel <1%
$22,657 Vol.
$22,657 Vol.
Kevin Steele
54%
Mike Beltran
42%
Ergin "Batman" Tek
<1%
Michael Marcel
<1%
John Peters
<1%
Robert "Rocky" Rochford
<1%
Gavriel Soriano
<1%
Bea Valenti
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the FL-14 Republican primary remains tight between leading contenders Kevin Steele and Mike Beltran, with no candidate reaching a clear majority in a crowded eight-person field ahead of the August 18 vote. Steele, a sitting state representative who resigned to run, holds an edge in recent fundraising totals and name recognition in parts of the redrawn district, while Beltran, a former state representative, posted a narrow lead in his internal survey conducted in early August. Minor candidates continue to draw low single-digit support, potentially fragmenting the vote. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with the race hinging on final turnout, last-minute endorsements, and any late shifts among undecided Republican primary voters in the Tampa Bay area.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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