Skip to main content
icon for FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Florida

FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Florida

FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Eric Yonce 65%

Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera 32%

Robert Cooper <1%

Steve Morgan <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Eric Yonce 65%

Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera 32%

Robert Cooper <1%

Steve Morgan <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Eric Yonce

$1,827 Vol.

65%

Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera

$4,662 Vol.

32%

Robert Cooper

$1,027 Vol.

1%

Steve Morgan

$764 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Yonce holds the strongest position in the Florida 6th congressional district Democratic primary market, driven by substantially higher fundraising totals and broader campaign visibility compared with other entrants. Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera follows as the clearest alternative, drawing support from voters focused on working-family priorities and law-enforcement experience, though trailing in resources. Robert Cooper II and Steve Morgan register negligible trader interest, reflecting limited name recognition and organizational reach. With the August 18 primary only days away, recent activity has centered on candidate positioning following the July debate rather than new polling or major endorsements, keeping the contest tightly between the top two fundraisers while the remaining fields remain long shots.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$8,280
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Yonce holds the strongest position in the Florida 6th congressional district Democratic primary market, driven by substantially higher fundraising totals and broader campaign visibility compared with other entrants. Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera follows as the clearest alternative, drawing support from voters focused on working-family priorities and law-enforcement experience, though trailing in resources. Robert Cooper II and Steve Morgan register negligible trader interest, reflecting limited name recognition and organizational reach. With the August 18 primary only days away, recent activity has centered on candidate positioning following the July debate rather than new polling or major endorsements, keeping the contest tightly between the top two fundraisers while the remaining fields remain long shots.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$8,280
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Related

icon for Will Bale Dalton be the FL-07 Democratic nominee?

Will Bale Dalton be the FL-07 Democratic nominee?

97%
icon for Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?

Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?

31%
icon for Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?

Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?

62%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eric Yonce" at 65%, followed by "Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Eric Yonce" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.