David Jolly holds a commanding lead in the Florida Democratic primary for governor, set for August 18, 2026, due to his prior service as a U.S. representative, high visibility as a political commentator, and decision to register as a Democrat in 2025 before launching his bid. He further consolidated support by naming former congresswoman Gwen Graham as his running mate. The field lacks other major contenders after withdrawals such as that of Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings, leaving only low-profile candidates. Trader consensus reflects this consolidation ahead of primary voting. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpectedly strong performance by a minor candidate could still shift results before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDavid Jolly 99.6%
Daniella Levine Cava <1%
Angie Nixon <1%
Gwen Graham <1%
$47,284 Vol.
$47,284 Vol.

David Jolly
100%

Daniella Levine Cava
<1%

Angie Nixon
<1%

Gwen Graham
<1%

Shevrin Jones
<1%

Fentrice Driskell
<1%

Jerry Demings
<1%

Jason Pizzo
<1%
David Jolly 99.6%
Daniella Levine Cava <1%
Angie Nixon <1%
Gwen Graham <1%
$47,284 Vol.
$47,284 Vol.

David Jolly
100%

Daniella Levine Cava
<1%

Angie Nixon
<1%

Gwen Graham
<1%

Shevrin Jones
<1%

Fentrice Driskell
<1%

Jerry Demings
<1%

Jason Pizzo
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Nov 25, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...David Jolly holds a commanding lead in the Florida Democratic primary for governor, set for August 18, 2026, due to his prior service as a U.S. representative, high visibility as a political commentator, and decision to register as a Democrat in 2025 before launching his bid. He further consolidated support by naming former congresswoman Gwen Graham as his running mate. The field lacks other major contenders after withdrawals such as that of Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings, leaving only low-profile candidates. Trader consensus reflects this consolidation ahead of primary voting. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpectedly strong performance by a minor candidate could still shift results before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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