Colorado's 8th congressional district remains a competitive swing seat narrowly flipped by Republican incumbent Gabe Evans in 2024. Democratic nominee Manny Rutinel, who secured his party's nod in the June 30, 2026 primary, now faces Evans in the November general election. The district's mix of suburban and rural Front Range voters, combined with elevated fundraising totals exceeding $20 million and typical midterm dynamics, supports trader consensus favoring Democrats at 70% implied probability over Republicans at 22%. Primary resolution and ongoing campaign spending patterns have reinforced positioning without major new shifts since early summer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCO-08 House Election Winner
CO-08 House Election Winner
$14,496 Vol.
$14,496 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
72%
Republican Party
22%
$14,496 Vol.
$14,496 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,886 Vol.
72%
Republican Party
$6,610 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Colorado's 8th congressional district remains a competitive swing seat narrowly flipped by Republican incumbent Gabe Evans in 2024. Democratic nominee Manny Rutinel, who secured his party's nod in the June 30, 2026 primary, now faces Evans in the November general election. The district's mix of suburban and rural Front Range voters, combined with elevated fundraising totals exceeding $20 million and typical midterm dynamics, supports trader consensus favoring Democrats at 70% implied probability over Republicans at 22%. Primary resolution and ongoing campaign spending patterns have reinforced positioning without major new shifts since early summer.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volume
$14,496End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Colorado's 8th congressional district remains a competitive swing seat narrowly flipped by Republican incumbent Gabe Evans in 2024. Democratic nominee Manny Rutinel, who secured his party's nod in the June 30, 2026 primary, now faces Evans in the November general election. The district's mix of suburban and rural Front Range voters, combined with elevated fundraising totals exceeding $20 million and typical midterm dynamics, supports trader consensus favoring Democrats at 70% implied probability over Republicans at 22%. Primary resolution and ongoing campaign spending patterns have reinforced positioning without major new shifts since early summer.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,496End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Colorado's 8th congressional district remains a competitive swing seat narrowly flipped by Republican incumbent Gabe Evans in 2024. Democratic nominee Manny Rutinel, who secured his party's nod in the June 30, 2026 primary, now faces Evans in the November general election. The district's mix of suburban and rural Front Range voters, combined with elevated fundraising totals exceeding $20 million and typical midterm dynamics, supports trader consensus favoring Democrats at 70% implied probability over Republicans at 22%. Primary resolution and ongoing campaign spending patterns have reinforced positioning without major new shifts since early summer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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