Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” leads CMA Song of the Year trader sentiment at 77% implied probability following its record-shattering run as the longest-running Billboard Hot 100 No. 1 in history with 23 weeks atop the chart, plus dominant Hot Country Songs and Country Airplay stays. The track’s crossover appeal, massive streaming totals, and ACM Song of the Year win earlier in 2026 created overwhelming momentum heading into the September 10 nominee announcement, where it earned a nod alongside Langley’s “Be Her.” Other contenders like Megan Moroney’s “Beautiful Things,” Kacey Musgraves’ “Dry Spell,” and Stephen Wilson Jr.’s “Gary” sit at far lower odds, reflecting their solid critical and fan reception but lacking comparable commercial dominance or historical precedent for an upset in this songwriter-focused category. The Nov. 18 ceremony remains the key resolution date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCMA Song of the Year 2026
CMA Song of the Year 2026
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 77%
Be Her (Ella Langley) 7%
Beautiful Things (Megan Moroney) 5%
Dry Spell (Kacey Musgraves) 4.0%
NEW
NEW
Nov 18, 2026
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)
77%
Be Her (Ella Langley)
7%
Beautiful Things (Megan Moroney)
5%
Dry Spell (Kacey Musgraves)
4%
Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.)
4%
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 77%
Be Her (Ella Langley) 7%
Beautiful Things (Megan Moroney) 5%
Dry Spell (Kacey Musgraves) 4.0%
NEW
NEW
Nov 18, 2026
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)
$2,554 Vol.
77%
Be Her (Ella Langley)
$80 Vol.
7%
Beautiful Things (Megan Moroney)
$60 Vol.
5%
Dry Spell (Kacey Musgraves)
$41 Vol.
4%
Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.)
$1,285 Vol.
4%
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year.
If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” leads CMA Song of the Year trader sentiment at 77% implied probability following its record-shattering run as the longest-running Billboard Hot 100 No. 1 in history with 23 weeks atop the chart, plus dominant Hot Country Songs and Country Airplay stays. The track’s crossover appeal, massive streaming totals, and ACM Song of the Year win earlier in 2026 created overwhelming momentum heading into the September 10 nominee announcement, where it earned a nod alongside Langley’s “Be Her.” Other contenders like Megan Moroney’s “Beautiful Things,” Kacey Musgraves’ “Dry Spell,” and Stephen Wilson Jr.’s “Gary” sit at far lower odds, reflecting their solid critical and fan reception but lacking comparable commercial dominance or historical precedent for an upset in this songwriter-focused category. The Nov. 18 ceremony remains the key resolution date.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year.
If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year.
If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volume
$4,021End Date
Nov 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year.
If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” leads CMA Song of the Year trader sentiment at 77% implied probability following its record-shattering run as the longest-running Billboard Hot 100 No. 1 in history with 23 weeks atop the chart, plus dominant Hot Country Songs and Country Airplay stays. The track’s crossover appeal, massive streaming totals, and ACM Song of the Year win earlier in 2026 created overwhelming momentum heading into the September 10 nominee announcement, where it earned a nod alongside Langley’s “Be Her.” Other contenders like Megan Moroney’s “Beautiful Things,” Kacey Musgraves’ “Dry Spell,” and Stephen Wilson Jr.’s “Gary” sit at far lower odds, reflecting their solid critical and fan reception but lacking comparable commercial dominance or historical precedent for an upset in this songwriter-focused category. The Nov. 18 ceremony remains the key resolution date.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year.
If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year.
If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,021End Date
Nov 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” leads CMA Song of the Year trader sentiment at 77% implied probability following its record-shattering run as the longest-running Billboard Hot 100 No. 1 in history with 23 weeks atop the chart, plus dominant Hot Country Songs and Country Airplay stays. The track’s crossover appeal, massive streaming totals, and ACM Song of the Year win earlier in 2026 created overwhelming momentum heading into the September 10 nominee announcement, where it earned a nod alongside Langley’s “Be Her.” Other contenders like Megan Moroney’s “Beautiful Things,” Kacey Musgraves’ “Dry Spell,” and Stephen Wilson Jr.’s “Gary” sit at far lower odds, reflecting their solid critical and fan reception but lacking comparable commercial dominance or historical precedent for an upset in this songwriter-focused category. The Nov. 18 ceremony remains the key resolution date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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