Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands 70.5% implied probability in the CMA Single of the Year market after its record 23-week run atop the Billboard Hot 100, ACM Single and Song of the Year wins in May, and dual nominations alongside her follow-up “Be Her.” The September 10 nomination announcement highlighted Langley’s nine total nods and the first-time female majority among Single of the Year contenders, reinforcing trader consensus around the song’s unprecedented crossover dominance and critical momentum. Lainey Wilson’s “Somewhere Over Laredo” (15.5%), Cody Johnson’s “The Fall” (11.3%), Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You” (10.0%), and Langley’s “Be Her” (4.1%) trail due to shorter chart peaks and less precursor success. With the November 18 ceremony approaching, any late voting shifts remain possible but appear limited by the song’s historic standing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCMA Single of the Year 2026
CMA Single of the Year 2026
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 71%
Somewhere Over Laredo (Lainey Wilson) 16%
The Fall (Cody Johnson) 7.4%
I Knew It, I Knew You (Taylor Swift) 7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 18, 2026
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)
71%
Somewhere Over Laredo (Lainey Wilson)
16%
The Fall (Cody Johnson)
7%
I Knew It, I Knew You (Taylor Swift)
10%
Be Her (Ella Langley)
4%
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 71%
Somewhere Over Laredo (Lainey Wilson) 16%
The Fall (Cody Johnson) 7.4%
I Knew It, I Knew You (Taylor Swift) 7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 18, 2026
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)
$1,242 Vol.
71%
Somewhere Over Laredo (Lainey Wilson)
$143 Vol.
16%
The Fall (Cody Johnson)
$33 Vol.
7%
I Knew It, I Knew You (Taylor Swift)
$250 Vol.
10%
Be Her (Ella Langley)
$200 Vol.
4%
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands 70.5% implied probability in the CMA Single of the Year market after its record 23-week run atop the Billboard Hot 100, ACM Single and Song of the Year wins in May, and dual nominations alongside her follow-up “Be Her.” The September 10 nomination announcement highlighted Langley’s nine total nods and the first-time female majority among Single of the Year contenders, reinforcing trader consensus around the song’s unprecedented crossover dominance and critical momentum. Lainey Wilson’s “Somewhere Over Laredo” (15.5%), Cody Johnson’s “The Fall” (11.3%), Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You” (10.0%), and Langley’s “Be Her” (4.1%) trail due to shorter chart peaks and less precursor success. With the November 18 ceremony approaching, any late voting shifts remain possible but appear limited by the song’s historic standing.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volume
$1,868End Date
Nov 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands 70.5% implied probability in the CMA Single of the Year market after its record 23-week run atop the Billboard Hot 100, ACM Single and Song of the Year wins in May, and dual nominations alongside her follow-up “Be Her.” The September 10 nomination announcement highlighted Langley’s nine total nods and the first-time female majority among Single of the Year contenders, reinforcing trader consensus around the song’s unprecedented crossover dominance and critical momentum. Lainey Wilson’s “Somewhere Over Laredo” (15.5%), Cody Johnson’s “The Fall” (11.3%), Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You” (10.0%), and Langley’s “Be Her” (4.1%) trail due to shorter chart peaks and less precursor success. With the November 18 ceremony approaching, any late voting shifts remain possible but appear limited by the song’s historic standing.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,868End Date
Nov 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands 70.5% implied probability in the CMA Single of the Year market after its record 23-week run atop the Billboard Hot 100, ACM Single and Song of the Year wins in May, and dual nominations alongside her follow-up “Be Her.” The September 10 nomination announcement highlighted Langley’s nine total nods and the first-time female majority among Single of the Year contenders, reinforcing trader consensus around the song’s unprecedented crossover dominance and critical momentum. Lainey Wilson’s “Somewhere Over Laredo” (15.5%), Cody Johnson’s “The Fall” (11.3%), Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You” (10.0%), and Langley’s “Be Her” (4.1%) trail due to shorter chart peaks and less precursor success. With the November 18 ceremony approaching, any late voting shifts remain possible but appear limited by the song’s historic standing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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