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icon for CMA New Artist of the Year 2026

CMA New Artist of the Year 2026

icon for CMA New Artist of the Year 2026

CMA New Artist of the Year 2026

Stephen Wilson Jr. 51%

Tucker Wetmore 38%

Emily Ann Roberts 7%

Carter Faith 3.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Stephen Wilson Jr. 51%

Tucker Wetmore 38%

Emily Ann Roberts 7%

Carter Faith 3.5%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Stephen Wilson Jr.

Stephen Wilson Jr.

$2,523 Vol.

51%

icon for Tucker Wetmore

Tucker Wetmore

$2,972 Vol.

38%

icon for Emily Ann Roberts

Emily Ann Roberts

$190 Vol.

7%

icon for Carter Faith

Carter Faith

$311 Vol.

4%

icon for Avery Anna

Avery Anna

$243 Vol.

3%

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for New Artist of the Year. If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for New Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stephen Wilson Jr. leads trader sentiment for CMA New Artist of the Year 2026 at 55.5% implied probability, driven by his four total nominations—including Song and Music Video of the Year for the solo-penned “Gary”—plus strong critical reception and recent releases like the personal single “Cørnerman.” This builds on his standout 2025 CMA performances and ACM visual media win, positioning him as the campaign frontrunner in a category allowing two eligibility years. Tucker Wetmore follows at 37% after his ACM New Male Artist victory and prior nod, while Carter Faith, Emily Ann Roberts, and Avery Anna trail with lower odds amid less established chart or awards momentum. The November 18 ceremony remains the key resolution catalyst in this closely watched race.

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for New Artist of the Year.

If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for New Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for New Artist of the Year. If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for New Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,239
End Date
Nov 19, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for New Artist of the Year. If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for New Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stephen Wilson Jr. leads trader sentiment for CMA New Artist of the Year 2026 at 55.5% implied probability, driven by his four total nominations—including Song and Music Video of the Year for the solo-penned “Gary”—plus strong critical reception and recent releases like the personal single “Cørnerman.” This builds on his standout 2025 CMA performances and ACM visual media win, positioning him as the campaign frontrunner in a category allowing two eligibility years. Tucker Wetmore follows at 37% after his ACM New Male Artist victory and prior nod, while Carter Faith, Emily Ann Roberts, and Avery Anna trail with lower odds amid less established chart or awards momentum. The November 18 ceremony remains the key resolution catalyst in this closely watched race.

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for New Artist of the Year.

If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for New Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for New Artist of the Year. If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for New Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,239
End Date
Nov 19, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 7:52 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"CMA New Artist of the Year 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Stephen Wilson Jr." at 51%, followed by "Tucker Wetmore" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"CMA New Artist of the Year 2026" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "CMA New Artist of the Year 2026," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CMA New Artist of the Year 2026" is "Stephen Wilson Jr." at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tucker Wetmore" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CMA New Artist of the Year 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.