Anthropic’s IPO market cap odds remain closely contested across the $1.5–2.5 trillion range because rapid revenue scaling from a $47 billion May 2026 run rate toward $100–120 billion annualized by year-end supports investor targets of $2 trillion or higher at a potential September–October listing, yet execution and market reception remain uncertain. The company’s $965 billion post-money Series H valuation, confidential June 1 S-1 filing, and positioning against OpenAI create a premium-multiple narrative in a sector where SpaceX’s recent debut set a high benchmark, but questions around competitive pressures from Chinese models, regulatory exposure, and infrastructure costs introduce dispersion. Traders are therefore pricing a wide but elevated outcome band rather than a single dominant level.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1.75–$2.0T 19%
$1.5–$1.75T 16.7%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.6%
$2.25–$2.5T 15%
$299,689 Vol.
$299,689 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$1.25T
5%
$1.25–$1.5T
12%
$1.5–$1.75T
17%
$1.75–$2.0T
19%
$2.0–$2.25T
17%
$2.25–$2.5T
15%
$2.5–$2.75T
8%
$2.75–$3.0T
8%
$3.0T+
6%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
$1.75–$2.0T 19%
$1.5–$1.75T 16.7%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.6%
$2.25–$2.5T 15%
$299,689 Vol.
$299,689 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$1.25T
$49,371 Vol.
5%
$1.25–$1.5T
$46,747 Vol.
12%
$1.5–$1.75T
$46,089 Vol.
17%
$1.75–$2.0T
$24,621 Vol.
19%
$2.0–$2.25T
$36,414 Vol.
17%
$2.25–$2.5T
$26,814 Vol.
15%
$2.5–$2.75T
$19,376 Vol.
8%
$2.75–$3.0T
$10,772 Vol.
8%
$3.0T+
$19,542 Vol.
6%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$19,942 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s IPO market cap odds remain closely contested across the $1.5–2.5 trillion range because rapid revenue scaling from a $47 billion May 2026 run rate toward $100–120 billion annualized by year-end supports investor targets of $2 trillion or higher at a potential September–October listing, yet execution and market reception remain uncertain. The company’s $965 billion post-money Series H valuation, confidential June 1 S-1 filing, and positioning against OpenAI create a premium-multiple narrative in a sector where SpaceX’s recent debut set a high benchmark, but questions around competitive pressures from Chinese models, regulatory exposure, and infrastructure costs introduce dispersion. Traders are therefore pricing a wide but elevated outcome band rather than a single dominant level.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$299,689End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s IPO market cap odds remain closely contested across the $1.5–2.5 trillion range because rapid revenue scaling from a $47 billion May 2026 run rate toward $100–120 billion annualized by year-end supports investor targets of $2 trillion or higher at a potential September–October listing, yet execution and market reception remain uncertain. The company’s $965 billion post-money Series H valuation, confidential June 1 S-1 filing, and positioning against OpenAI create a premium-multiple narrative in a sector where SpaceX’s recent debut set a high benchmark, but questions around competitive pressures from Chinese models, regulatory exposure, and infrastructure costs introduce dispersion. Traders are therefore pricing a wide but elevated outcome band rather than a single dominant level.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$299,689End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s IPO market cap odds remain closely contested across the $1.5–2.5 trillion range because rapid revenue scaling from a $47 billion May 2026 run rate toward $100–120 billion annualized by year-end supports investor targets of $2 trillion or higher at a potential September–October listing, yet execution and market reception remain uncertain. The company’s $965 billion post-money Series H valuation, confidential June 1 S-1 filing, and positioning against OpenAI create a premium-multiple narrative in a sector where SpaceX’s recent debut set a high benchmark, but questions around competitive pressures from Chinese models, regulatory exposure, and infrastructure costs introduce dispersion. Traders are therefore pricing a wide but elevated outcome band rather than a single dominant level.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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