Anthropic's confidential SEC filing in June 2026, following a $65 billion Series H round that set a $965 billion post-money valuation, has driven strong trader consensus toward an IPO closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. Rapid revenue growth to a $47 billion run rate, ongoing Claude large language model releases, and enterprise adoption of its safety-focused AI capabilities have reinforced expectations of a blockbuster debut potentially exceeding prior private benchmarks. With an IPO targeted for September or October, momentum from the broader artificial intelligence sector and comparisons to other trillion-dollar listings underpin the 63.5% implied probability on the highest bracket, though execution depends on market conditions and sustained competitive positioning against rivals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1.8T+ 64%
1.5–1.8T 17.4%
1.2–1.5T 12.0%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 5.2%
$308,287 Vol.
$308,287 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
3%
0.9–1.2T
2%
1.2–1.5T
9%
1.5–1.8T
17%
1.8T+
64%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
1.8T+ 64%
1.5–1.8T 17.4%
1.2–1.5T 12.0%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 5.2%
$308,287 Vol.
$308,287 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<0.6T
$17,031 Vol.
1%
0.6–0.9T
$22,372 Vol.
3%
0.9–1.2T
$21,043 Vol.
2%
1.2–1.5T
$29,279 Vol.
9%
1.5–1.8T
$25,533 Vol.
17%
1.8T+
$150,305 Vol.
64%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$42,725 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's confidential SEC filing in June 2026, following a $65 billion Series H round that set a $965 billion post-money valuation, has driven strong trader consensus toward an IPO closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. Rapid revenue growth to a $47 billion run rate, ongoing Claude large language model releases, and enterprise adoption of its safety-focused AI capabilities have reinforced expectations of a blockbuster debut potentially exceeding prior private benchmarks. With an IPO targeted for September or October, momentum from the broader artificial intelligence sector and comparisons to other trillion-dollar listings underpin the 63.5% implied probability on the highest bracket, though execution depends on market conditions and sustained competitive positioning against rivals.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Volume
$308,287End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's confidential SEC filing in June 2026, following a $65 billion Series H round that set a $965 billion post-money valuation, has driven strong trader consensus toward an IPO closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. Rapid revenue growth to a $47 billion run rate, ongoing Claude large language model releases, and enterprise adoption of its safety-focused AI capabilities have reinforced expectations of a blockbuster debut potentially exceeding prior private benchmarks. With an IPO targeted for September or October, momentum from the broader artificial intelligence sector and comparisons to other trillion-dollar listings underpin the 63.5% implied probability on the highest bracket, though execution depends on market conditions and sustained competitive positioning against rivals.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$308,287End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's confidential SEC filing in June 2026, following a $65 billion Series H round that set a $965 billion post-money valuation, has driven strong trader consensus toward an IPO closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. Rapid revenue growth to a $47 billion run rate, ongoing Claude large language model releases, and enterprise adoption of its safety-focused AI capabilities have reinforced expectations of a blockbuster debut potentially exceeding prior private benchmarks. With an IPO targeted for September or October, momentum from the broader artificial intelligence sector and comparisons to other trillion-dollar listings underpin the 63.5% implied probability on the highest bracket, though execution depends on market conditions and sustained competitive positioning against rivals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions