Recent funding and IPO preparations explain the 64% market-implied probability for an Anthropic closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. The company closed a $65 billion Series H round in late May 2026 at a $965 billion post-money valuation, more than doubling its February level, then confidentially filed its S-1 on June 1 targeting a potential fall listing. Backers now project annualized revenue reaching $100–120 billion by year-end 2026, supporting expectations for a record $2 trillion debut that would test frontier AI multiples in public markets. Secondary trading has already priced shares near or above $1 trillion, while Claude model adoption and compute expansion reinforce trader consensus around sustained high growth. Upcoming investor meetings and any further model releases could influence final pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1.8T+ 64%
1.5–1.8T 16.6%
1.2–1.5T 12.0%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 4.9%
$308,600 Vol.
$308,600 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
2%
0.9–1.2T
3%
1.2–1.5T
8%
1.5–1.8T
17%
1.8T+
64%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
1.8T+ 64%
1.5–1.8T 16.6%
1.2–1.5T 12.0%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 4.9%
$308,600 Vol.
$308,600 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<0.6T
$17,031 Vol.
1%
0.6–0.9T
$22,372 Vol.
2%
0.9–1.2T
$21,283 Vol.
3%
1.2–1.5T
$29,279 Vol.
8%
1.5–1.8T
$25,533 Vol.
17%
1.8T+
$150,305 Vol.
64%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$42,798 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent funding and IPO preparations explain the 64% market-implied probability for an Anthropic closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. The company closed a $65 billion Series H round in late May 2026 at a $965 billion post-money valuation, more than doubling its February level, then confidentially filed its S-1 on June 1 targeting a potential fall listing. Backers now project annualized revenue reaching $100–120 billion by year-end 2026, supporting expectations for a record $2 trillion debut that would test frontier AI multiples in public markets. Secondary trading has already priced shares near or above $1 trillion, while Claude model adoption and compute expansion reinforce trader consensus around sustained high growth. Upcoming investor meetings and any further model releases could influence final pricing.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Volume
$308,600End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent funding and IPO preparations explain the 64% market-implied probability for an Anthropic closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. The company closed a $65 billion Series H round in late May 2026 at a $965 billion post-money valuation, more than doubling its February level, then confidentially filed its S-1 on June 1 targeting a potential fall listing. Backers now project annualized revenue reaching $100–120 billion by year-end 2026, supporting expectations for a record $2 trillion debut that would test frontier AI multiples in public markets. Secondary trading has already priced shares near or above $1 trillion, while Claude model adoption and compute expansion reinforce trader consensus around sustained high growth. Upcoming investor meetings and any further model releases could influence final pricing.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$308,600End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent funding and IPO preparations explain the 64% market-implied probability for an Anthropic closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. The company closed a $65 billion Series H round in late May 2026 at a $965 billion post-money valuation, more than doubling its February level, then confidentially filed its S-1 on June 1 targeting a potential fall listing. Backers now project annualized revenue reaching $100–120 billion by year-end 2026, supporting expectations for a record $2 trillion debut that would test frontier AI multiples in public markets. Secondary trading has already priced shares near or above $1 trillion, while Claude model adoption and compute expansion reinforce trader consensus around sustained high growth. Upcoming investor meetings and any further model releases could influence final pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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