Amazon's 2026 capital expenditures guidance, initially set at $200 billion in February amid aggressive AI infrastructure plans, was raised to $220 billion during the July 30 Q2 earnings release primarily due to elevated memory and component costs. This reflects sustained hyperscale demand for AWS data centers, servers, and networking, with trailing-twelve-month purchases of property and equipment already reaching $173 billion. The elevated spend has compressed free cash flow to a $7.6 billion outflow, prioritizing long-term returns on invested capital over near-term margins. Key upcoming catalysts include Q3 results and any further revisions tied to supply constraints or customer backlog through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$19,156 Vol.
$170 billion
93%
$180 billion
94%
$190 billion
95%
$200 billion
83%
$210 billion
70%
$220 billion
63%
$19,156 Vol.
$170 billion
93%
$180 billion
94%
$190 billion
95%
$200 billion
83%
$210 billion
70%
$220 billion
63%
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Amazon's 2026 capital expenditures guidance, initially set at $200 billion in February amid aggressive AI infrastructure plans, was raised to $220 billion during the July 30 Q2 earnings release primarily due to elevated memory and component costs. This reflects sustained hyperscale demand for AWS data centers, servers, and networking, with trailing-twelve-month purchases of property and equipment already reaching $173 billion. The elevated spend has compressed free cash flow to a $7.6 billion outflow, prioritizing long-term returns on invested capital over near-term margins. Key upcoming catalysts include Q3 results and any further revisions tied to supply constraints or customer backlog through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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