Amazon's 2026 capital expenditure outlook is anchored by its July 30, 2026, earnings update, which raised full-year guidance to $220 billion—up $20 billion from the $200 billion figure provided in February—driven by accelerating AWS demand and elevated memory chip costs. The company reported its strongest cloud revenue growth in over four years, with management noting persistent capacity shortages despite the ramp. Roughly 80% of spending targets AI-related infrastructure, data centers, and custom silicon. This exceeds analyst models from early 2026 and aligns with broader hyperscaler trends, though it pressures free cash flow. Traders will monitor Q3 results and any further revisions tied to AI utilization metrics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$19,156 Vol.
$170 billion
93%
$180 billion
94%
$190 billion
95%
$200 billion
83%
$210 billion
70%
$220 billion
66%
$19,156 Vol.
$170 billion
93%
$180 billion
94%
$190 billion
95%
$200 billion
83%
$210 billion
70%
$220 billion
66%
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Amazon's 2026 capital expenditure outlook is anchored by its July 30, 2026, earnings update, which raised full-year guidance to $220 billion—up $20 billion from the $200 billion figure provided in February—driven by accelerating AWS demand and elevated memory chip costs. The company reported its strongest cloud revenue growth in over four years, with management noting persistent capacity shortages despite the ramp. Roughly 80% of spending targets AI-related infrastructure, data centers, and custom silicon. This exceeds analyst models from early 2026 and aligns with broader hyperscaler trends, though it pressures free cash flow. Traders will monitor Q3 results and any further revisions tied to AI utilization metrics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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