David Crowley holds a commanding 98.5% implied probability as the Milwaukee County winner in Wisconsin's August 11 Democratic primary for governor, reflecting his position as the county executive with deep local institutional ties and broad establishment support. Outgoing Governor Tony Evers endorsed him shortly before the primary, while outside spending exceeded $3 million in his favor, helping consolidate moderate and suburban Democratic voters against challenger Francesca Hong. Hong, a state assembly member, entered with polling momentum from progressive networks but faced reported campaign setbacks and narrower appeal outside urban progressive strongholds. With results now certified in most precincts, only narrow procedural delays, an unexpected recount confined to Milwaukee, or discrepancies in absentee ballot tabulation could alter the county outcome before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$3,683 Vol.
$3,683 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
David Crowley
99%
Francesca Hong
2%
$3,683 Vol.
$3,683 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
David Crowley
$344 Vol.
99%
Francesca Hong
$3,339 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Milwaukee County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Milwaukee County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Milwaukee County.David Crowley holds a commanding 98.5% implied probability as the Milwaukee County winner in Wisconsin's August 11 Democratic primary for governor, reflecting his position as the county executive with deep local institutional ties and broad establishment support. Outgoing Governor Tony Evers endorsed him shortly before the primary, while outside spending exceeded $3 million in his favor, helping consolidate moderate and suburban Democratic voters against challenger Francesca Hong. Hong, a state assembly member, entered with polling momentum from progressive networks but faced reported campaign setbacks and narrower appeal outside urban progressive strongholds. With results now certified in most precincts, only narrow procedural delays, an unexpected recount confined to Milwaukee, or discrepancies in absentee ballot tabulation could alter the county outcome before market resolution.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Milwaukee County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Milwaukee County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Milwaukee County.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Milwaukee County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Milwaukee County.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
Volume
$3,683End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Milwaukee County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Milwaukee County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Milwaukee County.David Crowley holds a commanding 98.5% implied probability as the Milwaukee County winner in Wisconsin's August 11 Democratic primary for governor, reflecting his position as the county executive with deep local institutional ties and broad establishment support. Outgoing Governor Tony Evers endorsed him shortly before the primary, while outside spending exceeded $3 million in his favor, helping consolidate moderate and suburban Democratic voters against challenger Francesca Hong. Hong, a state assembly member, entered with polling momentum from progressive networks but faced reported campaign setbacks and narrower appeal outside urban progressive strongholds. With results now certified in most precincts, only narrow procedural delays, an unexpected recount confined to Milwaukee, or discrepancies in absentee ballot tabulation could alter the county outcome before market resolution.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Milwaukee County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Milwaukee County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Milwaukee County.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Milwaukee County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Milwaukee County.
Volume
$3,683End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...David Crowley holds a commanding 98.5% implied probability as the Milwaukee County winner in Wisconsin's August 11 Democratic primary for governor, reflecting his position as the county executive with deep local institutional ties and broad establishment support. Outgoing Governor Tony Evers endorsed him shortly before the primary, while outside spending exceeded $3 million in his favor, helping consolidate moderate and suburban Democratic voters against challenger Francesca Hong. Hong, a state assembly member, entered with polling momentum from progressive networks but faced reported campaign setbacks and narrower appeal outside urban progressive strongholds. With results now certified in most precincts, only narrow procedural delays, an unexpected recount confined to Milwaukee, or discrepancies in absentee ballot tabulation could alter the county outcome before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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