Apple shares closed at $319.97 on September 4 amid heightened volatility ahead of the September 9 “Surprise and shine” product event and new CEO John Ternus’s first keynote. Traders are focused on potential iPhone 18 Pro refreshes and the rumored foldable iPhone Ultra launch, which could influence near-term revenue visibility and margin expectations. Recent reports of constrained initial production volumes for the foldable model and lingering supply-chain pressures from the July earnings period have weighed on sentiment, contributing to a 2.5% single-day decline. With the event just days away, market-implied odds reflect uncertainty around pricing power, execution risk, and post-event share-price reaction, while forward P/E near 33x embeds expectations for sustained services growth and buybacks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $344
7%
↑ $340
11%
↑ $336
19%
↑ $332
32%
↑ $328
52%
↑ $324
76%
↑ $320
51%
↓ $316
65%
↓ $312
38%
↓ $308
57%
↓ $304
12%
↓ $300
8%
↓ $296
50%
↓ $292
50%
$821 Vol.
↑ $344
7%
↑ $340
11%
↑ $336
19%
↑ $332
32%
↑ $328
52%
↑ $324
76%
↑ $320
51%
↓ $316
65%
↓ $312
38%
↓ $308
57%
↓ $304
12%
↓ $300
8%
↓ $296
50%
↓ $292
50%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple shares closed at $319.97 on September 4 amid heightened volatility ahead of the September 9 “Surprise and shine” product event and new CEO John Ternus’s first keynote. Traders are focused on potential iPhone 18 Pro refreshes and the rumored foldable iPhone Ultra launch, which could influence near-term revenue visibility and margin expectations. Recent reports of constrained initial production volumes for the foldable model and lingering supply-chain pressures from the July earnings period have weighed on sentiment, contributing to a 2.5% single-day decline. With the event just days away, market-implied odds reflect uncertainty around pricing power, execution risk, and post-event share-price reaction, while forward P/E near 33x embeds expectations for sustained services growth and buybacks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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