Tesla shares trade near $345 amid elevated valuation multiples exceeding 300 times trailing earnings, reflecting heavy investor bets on autonomy and robotics despite Q2 2026 results showing record $28.24 billion revenue but sharply lower 1.4% operating margins and negative free cash flow from doubled capital expenditures. Recent catalysts include Clark County robotaxi permits, Cybercab production updates, and a major China recall, while Cybertruck pricing adjustments and regulatory credit declines highlight near-term automotive pressures. With Q3 deliveries data and potential FSD advancements expected before September ends, and Q3 earnings scheduled for late October, traders weigh margin compression against AI-driven optionality in a high-beta name sensitive to broader equity and interest-rate moves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $450
6%
↑ $435
10%
↑ $420
13%
↑ $405
20%
↑ $390
32%
↑ $375
49%
↑ $360
72%
↓ $345
75%
↓ $330
71%
↓ $315
45%
↓ $300
26%
↓ $285
14%
↓ $270
8%
↓ $255
5%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $450
6%
↑ $435
10%
↑ $420
13%
↑ $405
20%
↑ $390
32%
↑ $375
49%
↑ $360
72%
↓ $345
75%
↓ $330
71%
↓ $315
45%
↓ $300
26%
↓ $285
14%
↓ $270
8%
↓ $255
5%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Tesla shares trade near $345 amid elevated valuation multiples exceeding 300 times trailing earnings, reflecting heavy investor bets on autonomy and robotics despite Q2 2026 results showing record $28.24 billion revenue but sharply lower 1.4% operating margins and negative free cash flow from doubled capital expenditures. Recent catalysts include Clark County robotaxi permits, Cybercab production updates, and a major China recall, while Cybertruck pricing adjustments and regulatory credit declines highlight near-term automotive pressures. With Q3 deliveries data and potential FSD advancements expected before September ends, and Q3 earnings scheduled for late October, traders weigh margin compression against AI-driven optionality in a high-beta name sensitive to broader equity and interest-rate moves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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